[Gynaecology and obstetrics in Basse-Normandy: demographic perspectives in 15 years].
OBJECTIVE
The French population is growing and ageing. In this context, it is important to consider the future of gynecologists and obstetricians in Basse-Normandie. The aim of this study was to perform an overview of the demographics of practitioners and estimate the retirements. We also try to project the need of trainees for the next years.


METHODS
We conducted a demographic and workload survey among 142 practitioners and 35 trainees. We detailed retirements and arrivals of this population.


RESULTS
By 2025, nearly two-thirds of practitioners in 2012 will retire, including 100% of medical gynecologists. Otherwise, there will be a lack of 1 to 2 practitioners per year. We also noted the tendance of feminization (86%) and the wish of a multi-practice in public hospital (86%).


CONCLUSIONS
A reflection about the health planning will be necessary in order to answer the demographics difficulty in the region. We will have to take into account the future retirements and also the specific situations in each area.
Service de gynécologie-obstétrique et médecine de la reproduction, CHU de Caen, avenue de la Côte-de-Nacre, 14000 Caen, France. Electronic address: maria_mandon@yahoo.fr.
M
M
Mandon
Département ville, échanges et territoires, conservatoire national des arts et métiers, 75003 Paris, France.
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JM
Macé
Service de gynécologie-obstétrique et médecine de la reproduction, CHU de Caen, avenue de la Côte-de-Nacre, 14000 Caen, France; UFR de médecine, université de Caen, avenue de la Côte-de-Nacre, 14000 Caen, France.
M
M
Dreyfus
Service de chirurgie vasculaire, CHU de Caen, avenue de la Côte-de-Nacre, 14000 Caen, France; UFR de médecine, université de Caen, avenue de la Côte-de-Nacre, 14000 Caen, France.
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L
Berger
D000328:Adult; D000368:Aged; D005260:Female; D005602:France / Q000453:epidemiology; D006176:Gynecology / Q000193:education / Q000706:statistics & numerical data; D006301:Health Services Needs and Demand; D006801:Humans; D007396:Internship and Residency / Q000706:statistics & numerical data*; D008297:Male; D008875:Middle Aged; D009774:Obstetrics / Q000193:education / Q000706:statistics & numerical data; D010820:Physicians / Q000706:statistics & numerical data / Q000600:supply & distribution; D011247:Pregnancy; D012179:Retirement / Q000706:statistics & numerical data; D013337:Students, Medical / Q000706:statistics & numerical data; D000078329:Workforce
Démographie médicale; Gynaecology and obstetrics; Gynécologie-obstétrique; Healthcare planning; Internes; Medical demography; Planification des besoins; Practitioners; Praticiens; Trainees