title: [About the prevalence of diseases of pancreas in the Udmurt Republic].
abstract: THE AIM OF OUR INVESTIGATION: To study the dynamic of morbidity level of pancreas in Udmurt Republic (UR) and to prognose it for nearest years.
  
  
  METHODS
  We used the official statistic materials of Republic medical information-analytic center for 2001-2011 yy. In analyses of received data we used trend models and statistic method.
  
  
  RESULTS
  We found that during analyzing period (2001-2011) common morbidity of pancreas in UR increased as well as primary--on 246% and 92% correspondently, especially in rural population. Morbidity of adult urban population is significantly higher than. By trend model method we can prognose raising of pancreas for nearest 5 years till the level of Russian one and higher.
  
  
  CONCLUSIONS
  The tendency to increasing of pancreas diseases morbidity in UR was revealed for last 10 years. Prognosing rise of morbidity, more in rural population, requires to organize active prophylactic measures.
authors.forename: O D
authors.initials: OD
authors.lastname: Mikhaĭlova
authors.forename: Ia I
authors.initials: IaI
authors.lastname: Grigus
authors.forename: Ia M
authors.initials: IaM
authors.lastname: Vakhrushev
mesh_terms: D000328:Adult; D005260:Female; D006801:Humans; D008297:Male; D010182:Pancreatic Diseases / Q000401:mortality*; D015995:Prevalence; D012189:Retrospective Studies; D012307:Risk Factors; D012424:Rural Population; D012426:Russia / Q000453:epidemiology