title: [Application of the Community Assessment Risk Screen in Primary Care centres of the Valencia Health System].
abstract: OBJECTIVE
  Application of The Community Assessment Risk Screen (CARS) tool for detection of chronic elderly patients at risk of hospital readmission and the viability study for its inclusion in health information systems.
  
  
  METHODS
  Retrospective cohort study.
  
  
  METHODS
  Health Departments 6, 10, and 11 from the Valencia Community.
  
  
  METHODS
  Patients of 65 and over seen in 6 Primary Care centres in December 2008. The sample consisted of 500 patients (sampling error=±4.37%, sampling fraction=1/307).
  
  
  METHODS
  The CARS tools includes 3items: Diagnostics (heart diseases, diabetes, myocardial infarction, stroke, COPD, cancer), number of prescribed drugs and hospital admissions or emergency room visits in the previous 6months. The data came from SIA-Abucasis, GAIA and MDS, and were compared by Primary Care professionals. The end-point was hospital admission in 2009.
  
  
  RESULTS
  CARS risk levels are related to future readmission (P<.001). The value of sensitivity and specificity is 0.64; the tool accurately identifies patients with low probability of being hospitalized in the future (negative predictive value=0.91, diagnostic efficacy=0.67), but has a positive predictive value of 0.24.
  
  
  CONCLUSIONS
  CARS does not properly identify the population at high risk of hospital readmission. However, if it could be revised and the positive predictive value improved, it could be incorporated into the Primary Care computer systems and be useful in the initial screening and grouping of chronic patients at risk of hospital readmission.
authors: Instituto de Investigación Polibienestar, Universidad de Valencia, Valencia, España. Electronic address: francisco.rodenas@uv.es.
authors: Francisco
authors: F
authors: Ródenas
authors: Instituto de Investigación Polibienestar, Universidad de Valencia, Valencia, España.
authors: Jorge
authors: J
authors: Garcés
authors: Instituto de Investigación Polibienestar, Universidad de Valencia, Valencia, España.
authors: Ascensión
authors: A
authors: Doñate-Martínez
authors: Servicio de Atención al Paciente Crónico y de Hospitales de Media y Larga Estancia, Dirección General de Ordenación y Asistencia Sanitaria, Agència Valenciana de Salut, Conselleria de Sanitat, Generalitat Valenciana, Valencia, España.
authors: Eduardo
authors: E
authors: Zafra
mesh_terms: D000368:Aged; D015331:Cohort Studies; D005260:Female; D006801:Humans; D008297:Male; D010359:Patient Readmission / Q000706:statistics & numerical data; D011320:Primary Health Care; D012189:Retrospective Studies; D018570:Risk Assessment; D013030:Spain; D011795:Surveys and Questionnaires
keywords: Atención primaria; Community Assessment Risk Screen; Elderly; Gestión pacientes crónicos; Hospital readmission; Management of chronic patients; Mayores; Primary Care; Reingreso hospitalario