title: Population dynamics of feral horses (Equus caballus) following above-average rainfall in a semi-arid environment of Australia.
abstract: BACKGROUND
  Recent record rainfall in much of semi-arid Central Australia is the most likely reason for a feral horse population increase in excess of normal. Uncontrolled numbers of feral horses have habitat degradation and animal welfare implications.
  
  
  OBJECTIVE
  The aims of this study were to investigate the social structure of feral horses and assess their population growth rate following unseasonably high rainfall.
  
  
  METHODS
  The study area was 4000 km(2) of unmanaged, semi-arid country in Central Australia (latitude 24.50°S, longitude 132.10°E). Horses were identified by descriptive features from ground searches, movement-activated cameras and 'hides' positioned at key water holes. Wherever possible, sex and age categories were documented. Population growth rate was estimated by the number of foals divided by the number of horses older than 1 year in the observed population.
  
  
  RESULTS
  A total of 1424 horses were identified and categorised, of which 335 were foals born within the current year. Only 123 juveniles were identified. Of the adult horses, 53.4% were male and 46.6% were female and this differed from parity (P = 0.04). Of the mares, 71.9% had a foal at foot and the population growth rate was 29.5%.
  
  
  CONCLUSIONS
  With a sustained population growth rate of 29.5%, this population of feral horses will more than double within 3 years. The high population increase will likely have a detrimental effect on native fauna and flora and the fragile, semi-arid ecosystems of Central Australia. After a period of high rainfall and plentiful resources, 'normal' drought conditions will return and many feral horses will starve and die as they compete for limited resources.
authors.affiliation: Zoological Institute: Population Genetics, Department of Biology, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Germany.
authors.forename: S
authors.initials: S
authors.lastname: Kampmann
authors.forename: B A
authors.initials: BA
authors.lastname: Hampson
authors.forename: C C
authors.initials: CC
authors.lastname: Pollitt
mesh_terms: D000818:Animals; D000835:Animals, Wild; D017753:Ecosystem; D005260:Female; D006736:Horses; D008297:Male; D015876:Northern Territory; D011157:Population Dynamics; D014741:Video Recording
keywords: animal welfare; ecology; horses; reproduction; wildlife