title: Projected health impacts of heat events in Washington State associated with climate change.
abstract: Climate change is predicted to increase the frequency and duration of extreme-heat events and associated health outcomes. This study used data from the historical heat-health outcome relationship, and a unique prediction model, to estimate mortality for 2025 and 2045. For each one degree change in humidex above threshold, we find a corresponding 1.83% increase in mortality for all ages, all non-traumatic causes of death in King County, Washington. Mortality is projected to increase significantly in 2025 and 2045 for the 85 and older age group (2.3-8.0 and 4.0-22.3 times higher than baseline, respectively).
authors.forename: Tania Busch
authors.initials: TB
authors.lastname: Isaksen
authors.forename: Michael
authors.initials: M
authors.lastname: Yost
authors.forename: Elizabeth
authors.initials: E
authors.lastname: Hom
authors.forename: Richard
authors.initials: R
authors.lastname: Fenske
mesh_terms: D000293:Adolescent; D000328:Adult; D000367:Age Factors; D000368:Aged; D000369:Aged, 80 and over; D002648:Child; D002675:Child, Preschool; D057231:Climate Change / Q000401:mortality*; D006304:Health Status; D006358:Hot Temperature; D006801:Humans; D007223:Infant; D008875:Middle Aged; D008962:Models, Theoretical; D014861:Washington