title: [Study of VOCs emission prediction and control based on dynamic CGE].
abstract: Researches on controlling volatile organic compounds (VOCs) through macroeconomic policy from the view of cost-benefit analysis are very important for our country to improve the air environment. Based on our previous study, this paper predicted future VOCs emissions until 2020 under current policies with 2007 as reference year by using dynamic CGE model. Meanwhile, environmental tax was imposed in ten industries with high emission and the impacts of emissions and economic system were discussed. Finally, policy implementations for VOCs emission control were suggested for policy-makers. The results showed that environment tax could mitigate VOCs emission, but it also resulted in high cost. Owing to the highly related relationship between different sectors, although transport sector was not taxed, it also suffered a great economic influence. Thus, when using the tax policy for reducing VOCs, subsidy for special sector is necessary.
authors.forename: Chang-Xin
authors.initials: CX
authors.lastname: Liu
authors.forename: Yu-Fei
authors.initials: YF
authors.lastname: Wang
authors.forename: Zheng-Ping
authors.initials: ZP
authors.lastname: Hao
authors.forename: Zheng
authors.initials: Z
authors.lastname: Wang
mesh_terms: D000393:Air Pollutants / Q000032:analysis* / Q000592:standards; D000397:Air Pollution / Q000331:legislation & jurisprudence; D018803:Models, Economic; D055549:Volatile Organic Compounds / Q000032:analysis* / Q000592:standards
chemical_list: D000393:Air Pollutants; D055549:Volatile Organic Compounds