title: Local cattle movements in response to ongoing bovine tuberculosis zonation and regulations in Michigan, USA.
abstract: Bovine tuberculosis (Mycobacterium bovis) is an ongoing management issue in the state of Michigan with eradication from livestock as the ultimate goal. Eradication has been a challenge owing to the presence of a wildlife reservoir; competing interests in managing the livestock and wildlife hosts; and many uncertainties in transmission dynamics of M. bovis. One of the cornerstones of the eradication effort has been to stop movement of infected cattle among farms by imposing strict pre-movement testing on cattle being moved within, into and out of the Modified Accredited Zone (MAZ) in northeastern Michigan. In addition to pre-movement tuberculosis testing, detailed information about the origin and destination premises of all movements within the MAZ has been recorded in Michigan. The aim of this study was to describe the farm-to-farm movements of cattle within the MAZ, report changes in the network of movements during a 6-year period when the MAZ was a constant size (2004-2009), and examine changes in cattle movement patterns when the MAZ was reduced from 11 to 5 counties in 2010. Non-slaughter cattle movement within the MAZ was characterized by predominantly local movements at a sub-county scale. Premises that shipped cattle were primarily senders or receivers, but rarely both. From 2004 to 2009, the number of cattle shipped, size of shipments, number of shipments and distance of shipments decreased; there was little change in the network patterns of interaction among individual premises; and interactions among all premises became more disconnected. After accounting for MAZ size, there were also no changes in cattle movement network patterns following the reduction of the MAZ in 2010. The movement of cattle was likely not a key risk factor in bTB spread among premises in the MAZ during the study period and the effect of zonation and movement regulations appeared to further reduce the risk of tuberculosis spread via cattle movements among farms in Michigan's MAZ.
authors.affiliation: Department of Biology, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO 80526, USA. Electronic address: daniel.a.grear@aphis.usda.gov.
authors.forename: Daniel A
authors.initials: DA
authors.lastname: Grear
authors.affiliation: Center for Comparative Epidemiology, Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI 48824, USA.
authors.forename: John B
authors.initials: JB
authors.lastname: Kaneene
authors.affiliation: Michigan Department of Agricultural and Rural Development, Lansing, MI 48909, USA.
authors.forename: James J
authors.initials: JJ
authors.lastname: Averill
authors.affiliation: Department of Biology, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO 80526, USA.
authors.forename: Colleen T
authors.initials: CT
authors.lastname: Webb
mesh_terms: D000818:Animals; D000835:Animals, Wild; D002417:Cattle; D003670:Deer; D004197:Disease Reservoirs; D007886:Legislation, Veterinary; D008824:Michigan / Q000453:epidemiology; D013997:Time Factors; D014186:Transportation; D014380:Tuberculosis, Bovine / Q000453:epidemiology* / Q000517:prevention & control
keywords: Accreditation zone; Bovine tuberculosis; Cattle movement; Dynamic network; Michigan; Mycobacterium bovis