title: Fertility and apparent genetic anticipation in Lynch syndrome.
abstract: Genetic anticipation is the phenomenon in which age of onset of an inherited disorder decreases in successive generations. Inconsistent evidence suggests that this occurs in Lynch syndrome. A possible cause for apparent anticipation is fecundity bias, which occurs if the disease adversely affects fertility. The purpose of this study was to determine the effect of age of diagnosis of colorectal cancer (CRC) on lifetime fertility in Lynch syndrome, and whether this can falsely create the appearance of genetic anticipation. A computer model simulated age of diagnosis of CRC in hypothetical Lynch syndrome carriers and their offspring. The model assumed similar age distribution of CRC across generations (i.e. that there was no true anticipation). Age distribution of CRC diagnosis, and lifetime fertility rates (grouped by age of diagnosis of CRC) were determined from the Australasian Colorectal Cancer Family Registry (ACCFR). Apparent anticipation was calculated by comparing ages of diagnosis of CRC in affected parent-child pairs. A total of 1,088 patients with CRC were identified from the ACCFR. Total lifetime (cohort) fertility was related to age of diagnosis of CRC (correlation coefficient 0.13, P = 0.0001). In the simulation, apparent anticipation was 1.8 ± 0.54 years (P = 0.0044). Observed apparent anticipation in the ACCFR cohort was 4.8 ± 1.73 years (P = 0.0064). There was no difference in apparent anticipation between the simulate d and observed parent-child pairs (P = 0.89). The appearance of genetic anticipation in Lynch syndrome can be falsely created due to changes in fertility.
authors.affiliation: Deakin University Department of Surgery, Geelong Hospital, Ryrie Street, Geelong, VIC, 3227, Australia, DouglasStupart@yahoo.co.uk.
authors.forename: Douglas
authors.initials: D
authors.lastname: Stupart
authors.forename: Aung Ko
authors.initials: AK
authors.lastname: Win
authors.forename: Mark
authors.initials: M
authors.lastname: Jenkins
authors.forename: Ingrid M
authors.initials: IM
authors.lastname: Winship
authors.forename: Paul
authors.initials: P
authors.lastname: Goldberg
authors.forename: Rajkumar
authors.initials: R
authors.lastname: Ramesar
mesh_terms: D000328:Adult; D017668:Age of Onset; D020132:Anticipation, Genetic; D003123:Colorectal Neoplasms, Hereditary Nonpolyposis / Q000453:epidemiology* / Q000235:genetics*; D003198:Computer Simulation; D005260:Female; D005298:Fertility; D006801:Humans; D008297:Male; D008875:Middle Aged