[Risk evaluation of schistosomiasis japonica input to potential endemic areas in Anhui province].
OBJECTIVE
To analyze the impact of water transfer project from the Yangtze River to the Huaihe River on schistosomiasis transmission, and to evaluate the risk of the disease input to the potential endemic area in Anhui Province, namely the Chaohu Lake region.


METHODS
From 2008 to 2012, 1 fixed and 3 mobile surveillance sites in the Chaohu Lake area were selected, and the schistosomiasis infection situation of 615 local residents in the fix surveillance site was investigated in autumn of 2008 and 2012, while the schistosomiasis infection situation of 1603 mobile population in the 3 mobile surveillance sites were investigated in autumn of 2008 to 2012. All people were screened by indirect hemagglutination assay (IHA), and the positive ones were then examined by sedimentation method. 303 local livestock and livestock from schistosomiasis endemic areas were examined by stool hatching method in autumn of 2008 to 2012. From 2008 to 2012, the distribution of Oncomelania snails was investigated in risk areas and suspicious areas, and the snail spreading pattern was conducted through salvaging floaters in rivers connected with the Yangtze River. In addition, the Oncomelania snails were raised in the cages on the beaches of the Chaohu Lake, a control area, from 2007 to 2010, and their survival and reproduction capacity was observed.


RESULTS
In 2008 and 2012, 301 and 314 local residents were detected by IHA, but there were no positive found. From 2008 to 2012, a total of 1603 mobile population were examined by IHA, and the positive rate of antibody was 3.1% (49/1603); 75 individuals were examined by sedimentation method, and the positive rate was 36.00% (27/75). A total of 303 livestock were examined by stool hatching method, but no one showed positive. A total of 1630 km(2) in risk areas and 3551 km(2) in suspicious areas were surveyed, but there were no Oncomelania snails found. A total of 457.6 kg floating debris were investigated, and 11 Oncomelania snails were found. From 2007 to 2010, the survival rate of Oncomelania snails in two trail areas in the Chaohu Lake and in the control area was 88% (86/98), 51% (45/89), 30% (25/71), 24% (20/84) and 92% (85/92), 54% (50/92), 23% (12/52), 17% (13/79) and 96% (85/89), 52% (44/85), 26% (18/69), 18% (14/76), respectively, there were no statistical significance between the trial areas and the control area (χ1(2) = 3.78, P > 0.01; χ2(2) = 0.27, P > 0.01; χ3(2) = 2.51, P > 0.01; χ4(2) = 1.50, P > 0.01), and filial generation snails were found in each observation area from 2008 to 2010, the number was 156-312.


CONCLUSIONS
The imported infectious sources of schistosomiasis have been found in the Chaohu Lake region, the possibility of imported exogenous Oncomelania snails spreading into the Lake and surviving and reproducing there is high. The risk of schistosomiasis input to the potential endemic area in Anhui Province is predicted to be high.
Anhui Institute of Schistosomiasis Control, Hefei 230061, China.
Zhiguo
Z
Cao
Email: wangtianping@hotmail.com.
Tianping
T
Wang
Shiqing
S
Zhang
Jianjun
J
Sha
Hao
H
Huang
Lei
L
Zhu
D000818:Animals; D003430:Cross-Sectional Studies; D004784:Environmental Monitoring; D006801:Humans; D060106:Lakes / Q000469:parasitology; D018570:Risk Assessment; D045483:Rivers / Q000469:parasitology; D012554:Schistosomiasis japonica / Q000453:epidemiology / Q000517:prevention & control* / Q000635:transmission; D012908:Snails / Q000469:parasitology*