Impact of stock market structure on intertrade time and price dynamics.
We analyse times between consecutive transactions for a diverse group of stocks registered on the NYSE and NASDAQ markets, and we relate the dynamical properties of the intertrade times with those of the corresponding price fluctuations. We report that market structure strongly impacts the scale-invariant temporal organisation in the transaction timing of stocks, which we have observed to have long-range power-law correlations. Specifically, we find that, compared to NYSE stocks, stocks registered on the NASDAQ exhibit significantly stronger correlations in their transaction timing on scales within a trading day. Further, we find that companies that transfer from the NASDAQ to the NYSE show a reduction in the correlation strength of transaction timing on scales within a trading day, indicating influences of market structure. We also report a persistent decrease in correlation strength of intertrade times with increasing average intertrade time and with corresponding decrease in companies' market capitalization-a trend which is less pronounced for NASDAQ stocks. Surprisingly, we observe that stronger power-law correlations in intertrade times are coupled with stronger power-law correlations in absolute price returns and higher price volatility, suggesting a strong link between the dynamical properties of intertrade times and the corresponding price fluctuations over a broad range of time scales. Comparing the NYSE and NASDAQ markets, we demonstrate that the stronger correlations we find in intertrade times for NASDAQ stocks are associated with stronger correlations in absolute price returns and with higher volatility, suggesting that market structure may affect price behavior through information contained in transaction timing. These findings do not support the hypothesis of universal scaling behavior in stock dynamics that is independent of company characteristics and stock market structure. Further, our results have implications for utilising transaction timing patterns in price prediction and risk management optimization on different stock markets.
Center for Polymer Studies and Department of Physics, Boston University, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America; Harvard Medical School and Division of Sleep Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America; Institute of Solid State Physics, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences, Sofia, Bulgaria.
Plamen Ch
PCh
Ivanov
Signal Processing Laboratory, Department of Engineering, Cambridge University, Cambridge, United Kingdom.
Ainslie
A
Yuen
Center for Polymer Studies and Department of Physics, Boston University, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America; Laboratory of Experimental Economics, University Jaume I, Castellón, Spain; Mind, Brain and Behaviour Research Centre (CIMCYC), University of Granada, Granada, Spain.
Pandelis
P
Perakakis
D003132:Commerce / Q000191:economics* / Q000639:trends*; D006801:Humans; D007449:Investments / Q000191:economics*; D040541:Marketing / Q000191:economics / Q000639:trends*; D018803:Models, Economic; D013997:Time Factors