title: Identifying risk factors of avian infectious diseases at household level in Poyang Lake region, China.
abstract: Poultry kept in backyard farms are susceptible to acquiring and spreading infectious diseases because of free ranging and poor biosecurity measures. Since some of these diseases are zoonoses, this is also a significant health concern to breeders and their families. Backyard farms are common in rural regions of China. However, there is lack of knowledge of backyard poultry in the country. To obtain first-hand information of backyard poultry and identify risk factors of avian infectious diseases, a cross-sectional study was carried out at household level in rural regions around Poyang Lake. A door-to-door survey was conducted to collect data on husbandry practices, trading practices of backyard farmers, and surrounding environments of backyard farms. Farms were categorized into cases and controls based on their history of poultry death. Data were collected for 137 farms, and the association with occurrence of poultry death event was explored by chi-square tests. Results showed that vaccination implementation was a protective factor (odds ratio OR=0.40, 95% confidence interval CI: 0.20-0.80, p=0.01), while contact with other backyard flocks increased risk (OR=1.72, 95% CI: 0.79-3.74, p=0.16). A concept of "farm connectivity" characterized by the density of particular land-use types in the vicinity of the farm was proposed to characterize the degree of contact between poultry in one household farm and those in other household farms. It was found that housing density in a 20-m buffer zone of the farmhouse was most significantly associated with poultry death occurrence (OR=1.08, 95% CI: 1.02-1.17, p=0.03), and was in agreement with observation of villagers. Binary logistic regression was applied to evaluate the relationship between poultry death event and density of land-use types in all buffer zones. When integrated with vaccination implementation for poultry, prediction accuracy of poultry death event reached 72.0%. Results combining questionnaire survey with geographical approaches indicated that occurrence of poultry death event among backyard farms within a village was heavily impacted by farm connectivity. This study provides new insight for the study and help to develop more targeted prevention and countermeasure in a typical rural environment of China.
authors.affiliation: School of Environment, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China.
authors.forename: Qian
authors.initials: Q
authors.lastname: Jiang
authors.affiliation: School of Environment, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China.
authors.forename: Jieting
authors.initials: J
authors.lastname: Zhou
authors.affiliation: College of Global Change and Earth System Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China.
authors.forename: Zhiben
authors.initials: Z
authors.lastname: Jiang
authors.affiliation: School of Environment, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China; College of Global Change and Earth System Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China; Department of Geography, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT 84112, USA. Electronic address: bingxu@tsinghua.edu.cn.
authors.forename: Bing
authors.initials: B
authors.lastname: Xu
mesh_terms: D000818:Animals; D002681:China / Q000453:epidemiology; D003430:Cross-Sectional Studies; D005191:Family Characteristics; D015994:Incidence; D011200:Poultry; D011201:Poultry Diseases / Q000453:epidemiology* / Q000209:etiology / Q000401:mortality / Q000635:transmission*; D015995:Prevalence; D018570:Risk Assessment; D012307:Risk Factors
keywords: Avian infectious disease; Backyard farm; Backyard poultry; Cross-sectional study; Risk factor