title: Incidence and predictors of morphometric vertebral fractures in patients with ankylosing spondylitis.
abstract: BACKGROUND
  Ankylosing spondylitis (AS) is associated with an increased incidence of vertebral fractures (VFs); however the actual incidence and predictors of morphometric VFs are unknown. The present study examined the incidence and predictors of new VFs in a large AS cohort.
  
  
  METHODS
  In total, 298 AS patients who fulfilled the modified New York criteria were enrolled and spinal radiographs were evaluated biennially. Clinical and laboratory data and radiographic progression were assessed according to the Bath AS Disease Activity Index, erythrocyte sedimentation rate, C-reactive protein (CRP), and the Stoke AS spine score (SASSS). VF was defined according to the Genant criteria. The incidence of VFs at 2 and 4 years was evaluated using the Kaplan-Meier method. The age-specific standardized prevalence ratio (SPR) for AS patients in comparison with the general population was calculated.
  
  
  RESULTS
  Of 298 patients, 31 (10.8%) had previous VFs at baseline. A total of 30 new VFs occurred in 26 patients over 4 years. The incidence of morphometric VFs was 4.7% at 2 years and 13.6% at 4 years. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that previous VFs at baseline and increased CRP levels at 2 years were predictors of new VFs (odds ratio (OR) =12.8, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 3.6-45.3 and OR = 5.4, 95% CI = 1.4-15.9). The age-specific specific standardized prevalence ratio of morphometric VFs in AS was 3.3 (95% CI 2.1-4.5).
  
  
  CONCLUSIONS
  The incidence of morphometric VFs increased in AS. Previous VFs and increased CRP levels predicted future VFs. Further studies are needed to identify the effects of treatment interventions on the prevention of new VFs.
authors.forename: Kwi Young
authors.initials: KY
authors.lastname: Kang
authors.forename: In Je
authors.initials: IJ
authors.lastname: Kim
authors.forename: Seung Min
authors.initials: SM
authors.lastname: Jung
authors.forename: Seung-Ki
authors.initials: SK
authors.lastname: Kwok
authors.forename: Ji Hyeon
authors.initials: JH
authors.lastname: Ju
authors.forename: Kyung-Su
authors.initials: KS
authors.lastname: Park
authors.forename: Yeon Sik
authors.initials: YS
authors.lastname: Hong
authors.forename: Sung-Hwan
authors.initials: SH
authors.lastname: Park
mesh_terms: D000328:Adult; D001799:Blood Sedimentation; D002097:C-Reactive Protein / Q000032:analysis; D015331:Cohort Studies; D005260:Female; D006801:Humans; D015994:Incidence; D016015:Logistic Models; D008159:Lumbar Vertebrae / Q000000981:diagnostic imaging / Q000293:injuries*; D008297:Male; D008875:Middle Aged; D015999:Multivariate Analysis; D011237:Predictive Value of Tests; D015995:Prevalence; D011379:Prognosis; D011859:Radiography; D056910:Republic of Korea / Q000453:epidemiology; D016103:Spinal Fractures / Q000453:epidemiology / Q000209:etiology*; D013167:Spondylitis, Ankylosing / Q000150:complications*; D013904:Thoracic Vertebrae / Q000000981:diagnostic imaging / Q000293:injuries*; D055815:Young Adult
chemical_list: D002097:C-Reactive Protein