title: A model for the determination of pollen count using google search queries for patients suffering from allergic rhinitis.
abstract: Background. The transregional increase in pollen-associated allergies and their diversity have been scientifically proven. However, patchy pollen count measurement in many regions is a worldwide problem with few exceptions. Methods. This paper used data gathered from pollen count stations in Germany, Google queries using relevant allergological/biological keywords, and patient data from three German study centres collected in a prospective, double-blind, randomised, placebo-controlled, multicentre immunotherapy study to analyse a possible correlation between these data pools. Results. Overall, correlations between the patient-based, combined symptom medication score and Google data were stronger than those with the regionally measured pollen count data. The correlation of the Google data was especially strong in the groups of severe allergy sufferers. The results of the three-centre analyses show moderate to strong correlations with the Google keywords (up to >0.8 cross-correlation coefficient, P < 0.001) in 10 out of 11 groups (three averaged patient cohorts and eight subgroups of severe allergy sufferers: high IgE class, high combined symptom medication score, and asthma). Conclusion. For countries with a good Internet infrastructure but no dense network of pollen traps, this could represent an alternative for determining pollen levels and, forecasting the pollen count for the next day.
authors.affiliation: Institute of Medical Statistics, Informatics and Epidemiology, University of Cologne, 50924 Cologne, Germany.
authors.forename: Volker
authors.identifier: 0000-0003-0325-3399
authors.initials: V
authors.lastname: König
authors.affiliation: Institute of Medical Statistics, Informatics and Epidemiology, University of Cologne, 50924 Cologne, Germany.
authors.forename: Ralph
authors.identifier: 0000-0002-1928-810X
authors.initials: R
authors.lastname: Mösges