title: Impact of temperature on mortality in three major Chinese cities.
abstract: OBJECTIVE
  To study the relation between temperature and mortality by estimating the temperature-related mortality in Beijing, Shanghai, and Guangzhou.
  
  
  METHODS
  Data of daily mortality, weather and air pollution in the three cities were collected. A distributed lag nonlinear model was established and used in analyzing the effects of temperature on mortality. Current and future net temperature-related mortality was estimated.
  
  
  RESULTS
  The association between temperature and mortality was J-shaped, with an increased death risk of both hot and cold temperature in these cities. The effects of cold temperature on health lasted longer than those of hot temperature. The projected temperature-related mortality increased with the decreased cold-related mortality. The mortality was higher in Guangzhou than in Beijing and Shanghai.
  
  
  CONCLUSIONS
  The impact of temperature on health varies in the 3 cities of China, which may have implications for climate policy making in China.
authors: School of Public Health, Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety of Ministry of Education, Fudan University, Shanghai 200032, China.
authors: Jing
authors: J
authors: Zhang
authors: Institute of Environmental Health and Related Product Safety, China Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing 100021, China.
authors: Tian Tian
authors: TT
authors: Li
authors: Shanghai Key Laboratory of Meteorology and Health, Shanghai Meteorological Institute, SMB, Shanghai 200030, China.
authors: Jian Guo
authors: JG
authors: Tan
authors: School of Public Health and Institute of Health and Biomedical Innovation, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, Queensland 4059, Australia.
authors: Cun Rui
authors: CR
authors: Huang
authors: School of Public Health, Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety of Ministry of Education, Fudan University, Shanghai 200032, China; Research Institute for the Changing Global Environment and Fudan Tyndall Centre, Fudan University, Shanghai 200032, China; Shanghai Key Laboratory of Atmospheric Particle Pollution and Prevention, Fudan University, Shanghai 200032, China.
authors: Hai Dong
authors: HD
authors: Kan
mesh_terms: D002681:China; D002947:Cities; D057231:Climate Change; D004784:Environmental Monitoring / Q000706:statistics & numerical data*; D006801:Humans; D009026:Mortality; D013696:Temperature; D014505:Urban Population / Q000706:statistics & numerical data*
keywords: Climate change; Mortality; Temperature; Time-series