title: Spatio-temporal variability of bovine tuberculosis eradication in Spain (2006-2011).
abstract: In this study we analyzed the space-time variation of the risk of bovine tuberculosis (bTB) in cattle between 2006 and 2011. The results indicated that at country level, there were no significant temporal changes between years, but, at county level bTB evolution was more heterogeneous. In some counties, between some years, the prevalence and the incidence of the disease was higher as compared to the global rate in the rest of the counties of Spain. The analysis of potential risk factors indicated that both, a large number of movements from counties with high incidence (>1%), and presence of bullfighting cattle herds increased bTB risk. Red deer abundance, number of goats and number of mixed cattle-goat farms were not significantly associated with the prevalence/incidence of bTB.
authors.affiliation: Centre de Recerca en Sanitat Animal (CReSA), UAB-IRTA, Campus de la Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, 08193 Bellaterra, Barcelona, Spain. Electronic address: Ariadna.garcia@cresa.uab.cat.
authors.forename: Ariadna
authors.initials: A
authors.lastname: Garcia-Saenz
authors.affiliation: Research Group on Statistics, Econometrics and Health (GRECS), University of Girona, 17004 Girona, Spain; CIBER of Epidemiology and Public Health (CIBERESP), Spain. Electronic address: Marc.saez@udg.edu.
authors.forename: Marc
authors.initials: M
authors.lastname: Saez
authors.affiliation: Centre de Recerca en Sanitat Animal (CReSA), UAB-IRTA, Campus de la Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, 08193 Bellaterra, Barcelona, Spain. Electronic address: Sebastian.napp@cresa.uab.cat.
authors.forename: Sebastian
authors.initials: S
authors.lastname: Napp
authors.affiliation: Centre de Recerca en Sanitat Animal (CReSA), UAB-IRTA, Campus de la Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, 08193 Bellaterra, Barcelona, Spain; Departament de Sanitat i Anatomia Animals, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, 08193 Bellaterra, Barcelona, Spain. Electronic address: Jordi.casal@uab.cat.
authors.forename: Jordi
authors.initials: J
authors.lastname: Casal
authors.affiliation: Subdirección General de Sanidad e Higiene Animal y Trazabilidad, Dirección General de Sanidad de la Producción Agraria, Ministerio de Agricultura, Alimentación y Medio Ambiente, 28071 Madrid, Spain. Electronic address: jsaezllo@magrama.es.
authors.forename: Jose Luis
authors.initials: JL
authors.lastname: Saez
authors.affiliation: Centre de Recerca en Sanitat Animal (CReSA), UAB-IRTA, Campus de la Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, 08193 Bellaterra, Barcelona, Spain; CIBIO, Centro de Investigacao em Biodiversidade e Recursos Geneticos, Universidade do Porto Campus Agrario de Vairao, 4485-661 Vairao, Portugal. Electronic address: Pelayo.acevedo@gmail.com.
authors.forename: Pelayo
authors.initials: P
authors.lastname: Acevedo
authors.affiliation: Centre de Recerca en Sanitat Animal (CReSA), UAB-IRTA, Campus de la Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, 08193 Bellaterra, Barcelona, Spain; National animal health diagnostic and investigation center (NAHDIC), P.O. Box 04, Sebeta, Ethiopia. Electronic address: Sintayehuguta_guta@yahoo.com.
authors.forename: Sintayehu
authors.initials: S
authors.lastname: Guta
authors.affiliation: Centre de Recerca en Sanitat Animal (CReSA), UAB-IRTA, Campus de la Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, 08193 Bellaterra, Barcelona, Spain; Departament de Sanitat i Anatomia Animals, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, 08193 Bellaterra, Barcelona, Spain. Electronic address: Alberto.allepuz@cresa.uab.cat.
authors.forename: Alberto
authors.initials: A
authors.lastname: Allepuz
mesh_terms: D000822:Animal Husbandry; D000818:Animals; D002417:Cattle; D003670:Deer; D060740:Disease Eradication; D005260:Female; D006041:Goats; D015994:Incidence; D008297:Male; D015995:Prevalence; D012307:Risk Factors; D013030:Spain / Q000453:epidemiology; D062211:Spatio-Temporal Analysis; D014380:Tuberculosis, Bovine / Q000453:epidemiology* / Q000517:prevention & control
keywords: Bovine tuberculosis; INLA; Risk factor analysis; Space–time analysis; Spain