title: Risk of rupture and risks of endovascular management of unruptured brain arteriovenous malformations.
abstract: This study reports the natural history of unruptured brain arteriovenous malformations (AVMs) and the risks involved in their endovascular management. A total of 242 patients at our center were enrolled in the study, which had retrospective and prospective components. We retrospectively assessed the morbidity and mortality related to endovascular management in 125 patients with unruptured AVMs. We prospectively assessed the natural history of unruptured AVMs in 117 patients with newly diagnosed unruptured AVMs; 48 of the patients had no history of seizure (Group 1), whereas 69 had a history of seizure from the lesion (Group 2). The retrospective group was also divided into patients with and without seizures. The cumulative rate of rupture of AVMs in Group 2 was less than 0.8% per year, while the rate was approximately sixfold higher (5.1% per year) in Group 1. The overall cumulative rate of rupture of AVMs was less than 3.0% per year. The overall rate of endovascular management-related morbidity and mortality was 10.6% in Group 2 and 11.9% in Group 1 at 30 days and was 25.9% and 13.6%, respectively, at one year. There was no independent predictor of a poor endovascular outcome. The likelihood of rupture of unruptured AVMs was exceedingly low among patients in Group 2 and was substantially higher among those in Group 1. The risk of morbidity and mortality related to endovascular management greatly exceeded the six-year risk of rupture among patients in Group 2. Endovascular management of an AVM should not be performed to eliminate or to improve seizure frequency.
authors.affiliation: Beijing Neurosurgical Institute and Beijing Tiantan Hospital, Capital Medical University; Beijing, People's Republic of China - Neurosurgical Department, China Meitan General Hospital; Beijing, People's Republic of China - shenxun2006@163.com.
authors.forename: Xun
authors.initials: X
authors.lastname: Shen
authors.affiliation: Beijing Neurosurgical Institute and Beijing Tiantan Hospital, Capital Medical University; Beijing, People's Republic of China.
authors.forename: Jie
authors.initials: J
authors.lastname: Liu
authors.affiliation: Beijing Neurosurgical Institute and Beijing Tiantan Hospital, Capital Medical University; Beijing, People's Republic of China.
authors.forename: Xianli
authors.initials: X
authors.lastname: Lv
authors.affiliation: Beijing Neurosurgical Institute and Beijing Tiantan Hospital, Capital Medical University; Beijing, People's Republic of China.
authors.forename: Youxiang
authors.initials: Y
authors.lastname: Li
mesh_terms: D000293:Adolescent; D000328:Adult; D017542:Aneurysm, Ruptured / Q000401:mortality* / Q000601:surgery*; D002648:Child; D057510:Endovascular Procedures / Q000401:mortality*; D004827:Epilepsy / Q000401:mortality; D005260:Female; D005500:Follow-Up Studies; D006801:Humans; D002538:Intracranial Arteriovenous Malformations / Q000401:mortality* / Q000601:surgery*; D008297:Male; D008875:Middle Aged; D009017:Morbidity; D011446:Prospective Studies; D012189:Retrospective Studies; D012307:Risk Factors; D016019:Survival Analysis; D055815:Young Adult
keywords: arteriovenous malformation; risk; unruptured