title: The stagnation of the Mexican male life expectancy in the first decade of the 21st century: the impact of homicides and diabetes mellitus.
abstract: OBJECTIVE
  In the first decade of the 21st century, the Mexican life expectancy changed from a long trend of increase to stagnation. These changes concur with an increase in deaths by homicides that the country experienced in that decade, and an obesity epidemic that had developed over the last decades of the 20th century. We quantify the impact of causes of death on life expectancy from 2000 to 2010.
  
  
  METHODS
  Two approaches to analyse causes of death are used: the number of life years lost due to each of the causes of death in a given year, and cause-decomposition techniques for comparisons of life expectancy from 2000 to 2010.
  
  
  RESULTS
  The apparent stagnation in life expectancy is the result of an increase in deaths by homicides and diabetes mellitus on the one hand, and the positive improvements observed in other causes of death on the other. The negative impact of homicides is particularly observed for ages 15 and 50, and for that of diabetes mellitus at ages above 45 years.
  
  
  CONCLUSIONS
  There is little basis for optimism regarding the future scenarios of the health of the Mexican population based on the first decade of the 21st century. Male life expectancy would have increased by 2 years if deaths by homicides and diabetes mellitus had been avoided.
authors.affiliation: Max-Planck Odense Center on the Biodemography of Aging, University of Southern Denmark, Odense, Denmark.
authors.forename: Vladimir
authors.initials: V
authors.lastname: Canudas-Romo
authors.affiliation: Centro de Estudios Demográficos, Urbanos y Ambientales, El Colegio de México, Mexico City, Mexico.
authors.forename: Víctor Manuel
authors.initials: VM
authors.lastname: García-Guerrero
authors.affiliation: Centro de Estudios Demográficos, Urbanos y Ambientales, El Colegio de México, Mexico City, Mexico.
authors.forename: Carlos Javier
authors.initials: CJ
authors.lastname: Echarri-Cánovas
mesh_terms: D000293:Adolescent; D000328:Adult; D017677:Age Distribution; D000368:Aged; D000369:Aged, 80 and over; D002423:Cause of Death / Q000639:trends*; D002648:Child; D002675:Child, Preschool; D003920:Diabetes Mellitus / Q000401:mortality*; D005260:Female; D006708:Homicide / Q000639:trends*; D006801:Humans; D007223:Infant; D007231:Infant, Newborn; D008017:Life Expectancy / Q000639:trends*; D015993:Life Tables; D008297:Male; D008800:Mexico / Q000453:epidemiology; D008875:Middle Aged; D061213:Mortality, Premature / Q000639:trends*; D017678:Sex Distribution; D055815:Young Adult
keywords: DEMOGRAPHY; DEVELOPING COUNTR; DIABETES; HOMICIDE; INTERNATIONAL HLTH