title: Structural breaks in mean temperature over agroclimatic zones in India.
abstract: Amongst Asian countries India is one of the most vulnerable countries to climate change. During the past century, surface temperature in India has shown a significant increasing trend. In this paper, we have investigated behavior of mean monthly temperature during the period 1901-2001 over four agroclimatic zones of India and also tried to detect structural change in the temperature series. A structural break in the series has been observed at the national as well regional levels between 1970 and 1980. An analysis of trends before and after the structural break shows a significant increase in July temperature in the arid zone since 1972.
authors.affiliation: Indian Agricultural Statistics Research Institute, New Delhi 110012, India.
authors.forename: Ranjit Kumar
authors.initials: RK
authors.lastname: Paul
authors.affiliation: National Centre for Agricultural Economics and Policy Research, New Delhi 110012, India.
authors.forename: P S
authors.initials: PS
authors.lastname: Birthal
authors.affiliation: Indian Agricultural Statistics Research Institute, New Delhi 110012, India.
authors.forename: Ankit
authors.initials: A
authors.lastname: Khokhar
mesh_terms: D057231:Climate Change; D007194:India; D012621:Seasons; D013696:Temperature