title: Sampling Networks from Their Posterior Predictive Distribution.
abstract: Recent research indicates that knowledge about social networks can be leveraged to increase efficiency of interventions (Valente, 2012). However, in many settings, there exists considerable uncertainty regarding the structure of the network. This can render the estimation of potential effects of network-based interventions difficult, as providing appropriate guidance to select interventions often requires a representation of the whole network. In order to make use of the network property estimates to simulate the effect of interventions, it may be beneficial to sample networks from an estimated posterior predictive distribution, which can be specified using a wide range of models. Sampling networks from a posterior predictive distribution of network properties ensures that the uncertainty about network property parameters is adequately captured. The tendency for relationships among network properties to exhibit sharp thresholds has important implications for understanding global network topology in the presence of uncertainty; therefore, it is essential to account for uncertainty. We provide detail needed to sample networks for the specific network properties of degree distribution, mixing frequency, and clustering. Our methods to generate networks are demonstrated using simulated data and data from the National Longitudinal Study of Adolescent Health.
authors.affiliation: Department of Biostatistics, Harvard School of Public Health.
authors.forename: Ravi
authors.initials: R
authors.lastname: Goyal
authors.affiliation: Department of Biostatistics, Harvard School of Public Health.
authors.forename: Victor
authors.initials: V
authors.lastname: De Gruttola
authors.affiliation: Department of Statistics, Harvard University.
authors.forename: Joseph
authors.initials: J
authors.lastname: Blitzstein