title: Audit method suited for DSS in clinical environment.
abstract: This chapter presents a novel online method to audit predictive models using a Bayesian perspective. The auditing model has been specifically designed for Decision Support Systems (DSSs) suited for clinical or research environments. Taking as starting point the working diagnosis supplied by the clinician, this method compares and evaluates the predictive skills of those models able to answer to that diagnosis. The approach consists in calculating the posterior odds of a model through the composition of a prior odds, a static odds, and a dynamic odds. To do so, this method estimates the posterior odds from the cases that the comparing models had in common during the design stage and from the cases already viewed by the DSS after deployment in the clinical site. In addition, if an ontology of the classes is available, this method can audit models answering related questions, which offers a reinforcement to the decisions the user already took and gives orientation on further diagnostic steps.The main technical novelty of this approach lies in the design of an audit model adapted to suit the decision workflow of a clinical environment. The audit model allows deciding what is the classifier that best suits each particular case under evaluation and allows the detection of possible misbehaviours due to population differences or data shifts in the clinical site. We show the efficacy of our method for the problem of brain tumor diagnosis with Magnetic Resonance Spectroscopy (MRS).
authors.affiliation: Ibime Group, Universitat Politècnica de València, C/ Camino de Vera s/n, Builidng 8G, 1st floor, access B, 46022, València, Spain, javier.vicente@imagenalysis.org.uk.
authors.forename: Javier
authors.initials: J
authors.lastname: Vicente
mesh_terms: D001499:Bayes Theorem; D054869:Clinical Audit / Q000379:methods*; D020000:Decision Support Systems, Clinical; D006801:Humans; D000069550:Machine Learning