title: Mathematical modeling of tuberculosis data of China.
abstract: This paper concentrates on the tuberculosis data of China from January 2005 to December 2012. We set up a mathematical model to fit those data with the goodness of fit and obtain the optimal parameter values of the model. By the Chi-square test of the statistical inference, the optimal parameter values of the model are reasonable. We get the effective reproductive number of the disease for each year, and also investigate the preventive measures to control the tuberculosis.
authors.affiliation: College of Science, Zhongyuan University of Technology, Zhengzhou 450007, China; School of Mathematics and Statistics, Central China Normal University, Wuhan 430079, China. Electronic address: jinhuitao20@126.com.
authors.forename: Jinhui
authors.initials: J
authors.lastname: Zhang
authors.affiliation: School of Information and Mathematics, Yangtze University, Jingzhou 434023, China.
authors.forename: Yong
authors.initials: Y
authors.lastname: Li
authors.affiliation: School of Mathematics and Statistics, Central China Normal University, Wuhan 430079, China.
authors.forename: Xinan
authors.initials: X
authors.lastname: Zhang
mesh_terms: D002681:China; D006801:Humans; D008954:Models, Biological; D014376:Tuberculosis / Q000453:epidemiology*
keywords: Chi-square test; Effective reproductive number; Goodness of fit; Parameter estimation