title: Redefining climate regions in the United States of America using satellite remote sensing and machine learning for public health applications.
abstract: Existing climate classification has not been designed for an efficient handling of public health scenarios. This work aims to design an objective spatial climate regionalization method for assessing health risks in response to extreme weather. Specific climate regions for the conterminous United States of America (USA) were defined using satellite remote sensing (RS) data and compared with the conventional Köppen-Geiger (KG) divisions. Using the nationwide database of hospitalisations among the elderly (≥65 year olds), we examined the utility of a RS-based climate regionalization to assess public health risk due to extreme weather, by comparing the rate of hospitalisations in response to thermal extremes across climatic regions. Satellite image composites from 2002-2012 were aggregated, masked and compiled into a multi-dimensional dataset. The conterminous USA was classified into 8 distinct regions using a stepwise regionalization approach to limit noise and collinearity (LKN), which exhibited a high degree of consistency with the KG regions and a well-defined regional delineation by annual and seasonal temperature and precipitation values. The most populous was a temperate wet region (10.9 million), while the highest rate of hospitalisations due to exposure to heat and cold (9.6 and 17.7 cases per 100,000 persons at risk, respectively) was observed in the relatively warm and humid south-eastern region. RS-based regionalization demonstrates strong potential for assessing the adverse effects of severe weather on human health and for decision support. Its utility in forecasting and mitigating these effects has to be further explored.
authors.affiliation: Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Tufts University, Medford; Tufts Initiative for Forecasting and Modeling of Infectious Diseases, Medford. elena.naumova@tufts.edu.
authors.forename: Alexander
authors.initials: A
authors.lastname: Liss
authors.forename: Magaly
authors.initials: M
authors.lastname: Koch
authors.forename: Elena N
authors.initials: EN
authors.lastname: Naumova
mesh_terms: D000368:Aged; D001185:Artificial Intelligence; D002980:Climate; D003080:Cold Temperature / Q000009:adverse effects; D016208:Databases, Factual; D006760:Hospitalization / Q000706:statistics & numerical data; D006358:Hot Temperature / Q000009:adverse effects; D006801:Humans; D011634:Public Health / Q000379:methods* / Q000706:statistics & numerical data; D063809:Satellite Imagery / Q000379:methods*; D014481:United States / Q000453:epidemiology