title: Low-carbon transition of iron and steel industry in China: carbon intensity, economic growth and policy intervention.
abstract: As the biggest iron and steel producer in the world and one of the highest CO2 emission sectors, China's iron and steel industry is undergoing a low-carbon transition accompanied by remarkable technological progress and investment adjustment, in response to the macroeconomic climate and policy intervention. Many drivers of the CO2 emissions of the iron and steel industry have been explored, but the relationships between CO2 abatement, investment and technological expenditure, and their connections with the economic growth and governmental policies in China, have not been conjointly and empirically examined. We proposed a concise conceptual model and an econometric model to investigate this crucial question. The results of regression, Granger causality test and impulse response analysis indicated that technological expenditure can significantly reduce CO2 emissions, and that investment expansion showed a negative impact on CO2 emission reduction. It was also argued with empirical evidence that a good economic situation favored CO2 abatement in China's iron and steel industry, while achieving CO2 emission reduction in this industrial sector did not necessarily threaten economic growth. This shed light on the dispute over balancing emission cutting and economic growth. Regarding the policy aspects, the year 2000 was found to be an important turning point for policy evolution and the development of the iron and steel industry in China. The subsequent command and control policies had a significant, positive effect on CO2 abatement.
authors: State Key Joint Laboratory of Environment Simulation and Pollution Control, School of Environment, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China.
authors: Bing
authors: B
authors: Yu
authors: State Key Joint Laboratory of Environment Simulation and Pollution Control, School of Environment, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China.
authors: Xiao
authors: X
authors: Li
authors: School of Economics and Management, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China.
authors: Yuanbo
authors: Y
authors: Qiao
authors: State Key Joint Laboratory of Environment Simulation and Pollution Control, School of Environment, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China. Electronic address: slone@tsinghua.edu.cn.
authors: Lei
authors: L
authors: Shi
mesh_terms: D000393:Air Pollutants / Q000032:analysis*; D002244:Carbon / Q000032:analysis*; D002681:China; D057217:Economic Development; D058735:Environmental Policy / Q000331:legislation & jurisprudence*; D033161:Government Regulation; D008669:Metallurgy / Q000191:economics / Q000331:legislation & jurisprudence; D017059:Models, Econometric; D008962:Models, Theoretical
chemical_list: D000393:Air Pollutants; D002244:Carbon
keywords: CO(2) emission reduction; China; Economic growth; Iron and steel industry; Vector autoregression (VAR)