title: Early identification of patients at risk of long-term critical illness-associated physical disability: is it possible?
abstract: ICU-acquired weakness can hinder and determine the course of recovery from critical illness, leading to life-changing disability. Risk factors include multiorgan failure and prolonged bed rest; however, no prognostic model or screening tool for new-onset disability has been established to date. With no way of targeting the at-risk population, it is difficult to demonstrate the benefit of rehabilitation interventions in research and prioritize resources clinically. In a recent issue of Critical Care, Schandl and colleagues aimed to establish a predictive screening tool for new-onset disability using 23 possible predictors. They found that using the following risk factors--low educational level, fractures, reduced core stability and length of ICU stay over 2 days--they were able to develop a risk score predictive of disability at 2 months after hospital discharge. These investigators propose that this will help to identify patients requiring follow-up and may increase the power to detect change in interventional studies. Whilst this is promising work, further validation is essential: firstly, to make it a clinically workable tool in terms of appropriate 'cut offs'; secondly, to ensure that it is transferable in different socio-economic environments; and finally, to make sure that those identified as 'at risk' are those that would benefit the most from targeted intervention.
authors: Evelyn J
authors: EJ
authors: Corner
authors: Stephen J
authors: SJ
authors: Brett
mesh_terms: D000203:Activities of Daily Living; D005260:Female; D006801:Humans; D007362:Intensive Care Units / Q000706:statistics & numerical data*; D007902:Length of Stay / Q000706:statistics & numerical data*; D008297:Male; D017741:Survivors / Q000706:statistics & numerical data*