title: Turning the hands of time again: a purely confirmatory replication study and a Bayesian analysis.
abstract: In a series of four experiments, Topolinski and Sparenberg (2012) found support for the conjecture that clockwise movements induce psychological states of temporal progression and an orientation toward the future and novelty. Here we report the results of a preregistered replication attempt of Experiment 2 from Topolinski and Sparenberg (2012). Participants turned kitchen rolls either clockwise or counterclockwise while answering items from a questionnaire assessing openness to experience. Data from 102 participants showed that the effect went slightly in the direction opposite to that predicted by Topolinski and Sparenberg (2012), and a preregistered Bayes factor hypothesis test revealed that the data were 10.76 times more likely under the null hypothesis than under the alternative hypothesis. Our findings illustrate the theoretical importance and practical advantages of preregistered Bayes factor replication studies, both for psychological science and for empirical work in general.
authors.affiliation: Psychological Methods, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam Netherlands.
authors.forename: Eric-Jan
authors.initials: EJ
authors.lastname: Wagenmakers
authors.affiliation: Social Psychology Program, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam Netherlands.
authors.forename: Titia F
authors.initials: TF
authors.lastname: Beek
authors.affiliation: Social Psychology Program, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam Netherlands ; Brain and Cognition Center, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam Netherlands.
authors.forename: Mark
authors.initials: M
authors.lastname: Rotteveel
authors.affiliation: Social Psychology Program, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam Netherlands.
authors.forename: Alex
authors.initials: A
authors.lastname: Gierholz
authors.affiliation: Psychological Methods, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam Netherlands.
authors.forename: Dora
authors.initials: D
authors.lastname: Matzke
authors.affiliation: Psychological Methods, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam Netherlands.
authors.forename: Helen
authors.initials: H
authors.lastname: Steingroever
authors.affiliation: Psychological Methods, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam Netherlands.
authors.forename: Alexander
authors.initials: A
authors.lastname: Ly
authors.affiliation: Psychological Methods, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam Netherlands.
authors.forename: Josine
authors.initials: J
authors.lastname: Verhagen
authors.affiliation: Psychological Methods, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam Netherlands.
authors.forename: Ravi
authors.initials: R
authors.lastname: Selker
authors.affiliation: Psychological Methods, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam Netherlands.
authors.forename: Adam
authors.initials: A
authors.lastname: Sasiadek
authors.affiliation: Psychological Methods, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam Netherlands.
authors.forename: Quentin F
authors.initials: QF
authors.lastname: Gronau
authors.affiliation: Psychological Methods, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam Netherlands.
authors.forename: Jonathon
authors.initials: J
authors.lastname: Love
authors.affiliation: Brain and Cognition Center, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam Netherlands ; Cognitive Neuroscience Group, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam Netherlands.
authors.forename: Yair
authors.initials: Y
authors.lastname: Pinto
keywords: Bayes factor; null hypothesis testing; preregistration; replication; statistical evidence