title: Risk factors for development of chronic periodontitis in Bulgarian patients (pilot research).
abstract: The aim of this work was to assess the risks and analyse the risk factors for development of chronic periodontitis in Bulgarian patients. The quality of life was investigated in a cohort of 228 patients with chronic periodontitis. Within the frame of this study, pilot research (a case-control study) was conducted among 80 patients (20 cases and 60 control patients without periodontitis) to evaluate the risk for development of chronic periodontitis. The minimum sample size of patients was determined based on power analysis for sample-size calculation. The mean age of participants in the control group was 31.33 ± 9.38 years and in the case group, 33.00 ± 11.52. Data were accumulated by clinical and sociological methods. Descriptive statistics and multi-factor logistic regression analysis (Backward Conditional procedure) were used. One-factor dispersion analysis showed that, of the 12 studied risk factors, the following variables were significant: stress, diabetes, presence of calculus, overlapping and misaligned teeth (P< 0.05). Multiple logistic regressions were applied to evaluate the association between the variables. Three predictors were selected in the final logistic regression equation: diabetes (B= 4.195;P= 0.001), crooked and overlapping teeth (B= 3.022;P= 0.010) and stress (B= 2.882;P= 0.014). The logistic risk assessment model for development of periodontitis has a predictive value of 93.80% (χ2= 63.91;P= 0.000). Our results confirmed some proven risk factors for periodontal disease. In the studied population, diabetes was the single, most important predictor for development of periodontitis.
authors.affiliation: Deparment of Social Medicine and Public Health, Faculty of Public Health, Medical University of Plovdiv , Plovdiv , Bulgaria.
authors.forename: Maria
authors.initials: M
authors.lastname: Stoykova
authors.affiliation: Deparment of Social Medicine and Public Health, Faculty of Public Health, Medical University of Plovdiv , Plovdiv , Bulgaria.
authors.forename: Nina
authors.initials: N
authors.lastname: Musurlieva
authors.affiliation: Department of Applied Mathematics and Modeling, Faculty of Mathematics and Informatics, Plovdiv University 'Paisii Hilendarski' , Plovdiv , Bulgaria.
authors.forename: Doychin
authors.initials: D
authors.lastname: Boyadzhiev
keywords: diabetes; odds ratio; periodontitis; risk factors; stress