title: Temperature based forensic death time estimation: The standard model in experimental test.
abstract: The determination of the time since death is essential to forensic homicide investigations since the time of death represents the presumed time of the offence. Erroneous death time estimates may lead to false acquittal or conviction of suspects. Since its introduction 30years back, the nomogram method by Henßge has been established as the standard procedure of temperature-based death time determination in the early post-mortem period. The present study provides an independent investigation of the validity of its death time estimates and their corresponding 95%-confidence intervals. Comparison to post-mortem cooling curves recorded under controlled conditions of 84 suddenly deceased with known death times yielded the following results: Since in the light of our experiments the validity of the nomogram method seems to be problematic, death time estimates - and particularly their 95%-confidence interval limits - have to be interpreted carefully and should only be restrictively used as court evidence to support or refute alibis. Systematic overestimation of the post-mortem interval in bodies of high mass and large surface area must be taken into account.
authors.affiliation: Institute of Forensic Medicine, Jena University Hospital - Friedrich Schiller University Jena, Germany. Electronic address: michael.hubig@med.uni-jena.de.
authors.forename: M
authors.initials: M
authors.lastname: Hubig
authors.affiliation: Institute of Forensic Medicine, Jena University Hospital - Friedrich Schiller University Jena, Germany.
authors.forename: H
authors.initials: H
authors.lastname: Muggenthaler
authors.affiliation: Institute of Legal Medicine, Ludwig Maximilians-University Munich, Germany.
authors.forename: I
authors.initials: I
authors.lastname: Sinicina
authors.affiliation: Institute of Forensic Medicine, Jena University Hospital - Friedrich Schiller University Jena, Germany.
authors.forename: G
authors.initials: G
authors.lastname: Mall
mesh_terms: D001831:Body Temperature; D016001:Confidence Intervals; D005554:Forensic Medicine / Q000379:methods; D006801:Humans; D011180:Postmortem Changes; D013997:Time Factors
keywords: Bias; Confidence interval probability check; Cooling experiments; Henßge method; Nomogram; Temperature based death time estimation