title: Effects of climate change on residential infiltration and air pollution exposure.
abstract: Air exchange through infiltration is driven partly by indoor/outdoor temperature differences, and as climate change increases ambient temperatures, such differences could vary considerably even with small ambient temperature increments, altering patterns of exposures to both indoor and outdoor pollutants. We calculated changes in air fluxes through infiltration for prototypical detached homes in nine metropolitan areas in the United States (Atlanta, Boston, Chicago, Houston, Los Angeles, Minneapolis, New York, Phoenix, and Seattle) from 1970-2000 to 2040-2070. The Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory model of infiltration was used in combination with climate data from eight regionally downscaled climate models from the North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program. Averaged over all study locations, seasons, and climate models, air exchange through infiltration would decrease by ~5%. Localized increased infiltration is expected during the summer months, up to 20-30%. Seasonal and daily variability in infiltration are also expected to increase, particularly during the summer months. Diminished infiltration in future climate scenarios may be expected to increase exposure to indoor sources of air pollution, unless these ventilation reductions are otherwise compensated. Exposure to ambient air pollution, conversely, could be mitigated by lower infiltration, although peak exposure increases during summer months should be considered, as well as other mechanisms.
authors.affiliation: United States Environmental Protection Agency, Washington, District of Columbia, USA.
authors.forename: Vito
authors.initials: V
authors.lastname: Ilacqua
authors.affiliation: United States Environmental Protection Agency, Washington, District of Columbia, USA.
authors.forename: John
authors.initials: J
authors.lastname: Dawson
authors.affiliation: United States Environmental Protection Agency, Washington, District of Columbia, USA.
authors.forename: Michael
authors.initials: M
authors.lastname: Breen
authors.affiliation: United States Environmental Protection Agency, Washington, District of Columbia, USA.
authors.forename: Sarany
authors.initials: S
authors.lastname: Singer
authors.affiliation: United States Environmental Protection Agency, Washington, District of Columbia, USA.
authors.forename: Ashley
authors.initials: A
authors.lastname: Berg
mesh_terms: D000393:Air Pollutants; D000397:Air Pollution / Q000032:analysis; D016902:Air Pollution, Indoor; D002947:Cities; D057231:Climate Change; D016208:Databases, Factual; D004781:Environmental Exposure / Q000032:analysis*; D004784:Environmental Monitoring; D006798:Housing; D006801:Humans; D006813:Humidity; D015233:Models, Statistical; D012621:Seasons; D014481:United States; D014691:Ventilation
chemical_list: D000393:Air Pollutants