title: Causal relationship between CO₂ emissions, real GDP, energy consumption, financial development, trade openness, and urbanization in Tunisia.
abstract: The aim of this paper is to examine the causal relationship between CO2 emissions, real GDP, energy consumption, financial development, trade openness, and urbanization in Tunisia over the period of 1971-2012. The long-run relationship is investigated by the auto-regressive distributed lag (ARDL) bounds testing approach to cointegration and error correction method (ECM). The results of the analysis reveal a positive sign for the coefficient of financial development, suggesting that the financial development in Tunisia has taken place at the expense of environmental pollution. The Tunisian case also shows a positive monotonic relationship between real GDP and CO2 emissions. This means that the results do not support the validity of environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) hypothesis. In addition, the paper explores causal relationship between the variables by using Granger causality models and it concludes that financial development plays a vital role in the Tunisian economy.
authors.affiliation: LAMIDED, ISG Sousse, University of Sousse, Sousse, Tunisia. sahbi.farhani@ipag.fr.
authors.forename: Sahbi
authors.initials: S
authors.lastname: Farhani
authors.affiliation: Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Cag University, Mersin, Turkey. ilhanozturk@cag.edu.tr.
authors.forename: Ilhan
authors.initials: I
authors.lastname: Ozturk
mesh_terms: D000393:Air Pollutants / Q000032:analysis*; D000397:Air Pollution / Q000032:analysis; D002245:Carbon Dioxide / Q000032:analysis*; D003246:Conservation of Energy Resources; D003906:Developing Countries; D059066:Gross Domestic Product; D006801:Humans; D038622:Internationality; D014416:Tunisia; D014507:Urbanization
chemical_list: D000393:Air Pollutants; D002245:Carbon Dioxide
keywords: Auto-regressive distributed lag (ARDL) bounds testing approach; Environmental Kuznets curve (EKC); Tunisia