title: Basic understanding of posterior probability.
authors.affiliation: Center for Experimental Research on Management and Economics, Department of Culture Project, University IUAV of Venice Venice, Italy.
authors.forename: Vittorio
authors.initials: V
authors.lastname: Girotto
authors.affiliation: Center for Experimental Research on Management and Economics, Department of Culture Project, University IUAV of Venice Venice, Italy.
authors.forename: Stefania
authors.initials: S
authors.lastname: Pighin
keywords: intuitive judgments; natural frequencies; number of chances; posterior probability; updating