title: Risk Analysis for Unintentional Slide Deployment During Airline Operations.
abstract: We present a risk analysis undertaken to mitigate problems in relation to the unintended deployment of slides under normal operations within a commercial airline. This type of incident entails relevant costs for the airline industry. After assessing the likelihood and severity of its consequences, we conclude that such risks need to be managed. We then evaluate the effectiveness of various countermeasures, describing and justifying the chosen ones. We also discuss several issues faced when implementing and communicating the proposed measures, thus fully illustrating the risk analysis process.
authors.affiliation: Department of Informatics and Statistics, Universidad Rey Juan Carlos, 28933, Mostoles, Spain.
authors.forename: Eduardo S
authors.initials: ES
authors.lastname: Ayra
authors.affiliation: ICMAT-CSIC, 28049, Madrid, Spain.
authors.forename: David Ríos
authors.initials: DR
authors.lastname: Insua
authors.affiliation: Department of Informatics and Statistics, Universidad Rey Juan Carlos, 28933, Mostoles, Spain.
authors.forename: María Eugenia
authors.initials: ME
authors.lastname: Castellanos
authors.affiliation: Department of Mathematics, Universite Tizi Ouzou, Algeria.
authors.forename: Lydia
authors.initials: L
authors.lastname: Larbi
mesh_terms: D000060:Accidents, Aviation / Q000191:economics / Q000517:prevention & control / Q000706:statistics & numerical data; D000401:Aircraft / Q000191:economics; D001359:Aviation / Q000191:economics / Q000706:statistics & numerical data; D001499:Bayes Theorem; D003365:Costs and Cost Analysis; D006801:Humans; D016013:Likelihood Functions; D018803:Models, Economic; D018570:Risk Assessment / Q000379:methods / Q000706:statistics & numerical data; D017751:Safety Management
keywords: Aviation safety; Bayesian analysis; cost models; risk analysis; risk communication