title: Long Term Influences of Age-Education Transition on the Brazilian Labour Market.
abstract: The objective of this study is to estimate the long term mean earnings of the male Brazilian population, taking into account the ageing process of the population and the increase in educational attainment. Using census data, household sample surveys, as well as population and education projections, estimates indicate that an ageing population and an increase in education will have a 2 percent impact on the annual growth of an average income in Brazil by 2050. The challenge for the future is to improve the proportion of the Brazilian population with completed college degrees.
authors.affiliation: Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Brazil.
authors.forename: Ernesto Friedrich
authors.initials: EF
authors.lastname: DE Lima Amaral
authors.affiliation: Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Brazil.
authors.forename: Eduardo Luiz Gonçalves
authors.initials: EL
authors.lastname: Rios-Neto
authors.affiliation: University of Texas at Austin, USA.
authors.forename: Joseph E
authors.initials: JE
authors.lastname: Potter
keywords: Brazil; cohort size; demographic transition; economic development; educational transition; projection of earnings