title: Analysis of farmland fragmentation in China Modernization Demonstration Zone since "Reform and Openness": a case study of South Jiangsu Province.
abstract: Farmland is a fundamental resource for human survival and development. However, farmland fragmentation has become a serious problem, causing ecological damage and low crop production efficiency in many parts of the world. Based on remote sensing and socioeconomic data, we used landscape pattern indices, Morphological Spatial Pattern Analysis (MSPA), and Markov chain models to analyze the temporal and spatial pattern changes in farmland in South Jiangsu Province (the first "Modernization Demonstration Zone" in China) during 1985-2010. Our results demonstrated that the total farmland area decreased by ca. 24% and the farmland pattern became fragmented during 1985-2008: core farmland decreased and islet farmland increased. Additionally, the farmland patch density (PD) increased and three other landscape indices (NLSI, MESH, and COHESION) showed significant decreases. Although the fragmentation rate slowed after 2008, the convergence rate to a stationary farmland distribution became faster, and transitions tended to be less deterministic after 2000. Economic and population growth and policy changes positively contributed to this phenomenon. Therefore, the primary task of farmland protection should be to preserve contiguous farmlands and reduce scattered patches in order to promote farmland connectivity.
authors.affiliation: 1] Jiangsu Provincial Key Laboratory of Geographic Information Science and Technology, Nanjing University, Nanjing, 210093, China [2] Collaborative Innovation Center for the South Sea Studies, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210093, China [3] Department of Geographic Information Science, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210093, China [4] Collaborative Innovation Center of Novel Software Technology and Industrialization, Nanjing University, Nanjing, China.
authors.forename: Liang
authors.initials: L
authors.lastname: Cheng
authors.affiliation: 1] Jiangsu Provincial Key Laboratory of Geographic Information Science and Technology, Nanjing University, Nanjing, 210093, China [2] Department of Geographic Information Science, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210093, China.
authors.forename: Nan
authors.initials: N
authors.lastname: Xia
authors.affiliation: 1] Jiangsu Provincial Key Laboratory of Geographic Information Science and Technology, Nanjing University, Nanjing, 210093, China [2] Department of Geographic Information Science, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210093, China.
authors.forename: Penghui
authors.initials: P
authors.lastname: Jiang
authors.affiliation: 1] Jiangsu Provincial Key Laboratory of Geographic Information Science and Technology, Nanjing University, Nanjing, 210093, China [2] Department of Geographic Information Science, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210093, China.
authors.forename: Lishan
authors.initials: L
authors.lastname: Zhong
authors.affiliation: 1] Jiangsu Provincial Key Laboratory of Geographic Information Science and Technology, Nanjing University, Nanjing, 210093, China [2] Department of Geographic Information Science, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210093, China.
authors.forename: Yuzhe
authors.initials: Y
authors.lastname: Pian
authors.affiliation: 1] Jiangsu Provincial Key Laboratory of Geographic Information Science and Technology, Nanjing University, Nanjing, 210093, China [2] Department of Geographic Information Science, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210093, China.
authors.forename: Yuewei
authors.initials: Y
authors.lastname: Duan
authors.affiliation: 1] Jiangsu Provincial Key Laboratory of Geographic Information Science and Technology, Nanjing University, Nanjing, 210093, China [2] Collaborative Innovation Center for the South Sea Studies, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210093, China [3] Department of Geographic Information Science, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210093, China [4] Collaborative Innovation Center of Novel Software Technology and Industrialization, Nanjing University, Nanjing, China.
authors.forename: Qiuhao
authors.initials: Q
authors.lastname: Huang
authors.affiliation: 1] Jiangsu Provincial Key Laboratory of Geographic Information Science and Technology, Nanjing University, Nanjing, 210093, China [2] Collaborative Innovation Center for the South Sea Studies, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210093, China [3] Department of Geographic Information Science, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210093, China [4] Collaborative Innovation Center of Novel Software Technology and Industrialization, Nanjing University, Nanjing, China.
authors.forename: Manchun
authors.initials: M
authors.lastname: Li
mesh_terms: D000383:Agriculture; D002681:China; D018556:Crops, Agricultural; D004463:Ecology; D017753:Ecosystem; D006801:Humans; D011158:Population Growth; D012922:Social Change; D014197:Trees