title: Adult obesity, disease and longevity in Mexico.
abstract: OBJECTIVE
  To obtain estimates of the effects of overweight and obesity on the incidence of type 2 diabetes (T2D) and adult mortality.
  
  
  METHODS
  We use three waves (2000, 2002, 2012) of the Mexican Health and Aging Survey (MHAS).We employ parametric hazard models to estimate mortality and conventional logistic models to estimate incidence of T2D.
  
  
  RESULTS
  Obesity and overweight have a strong effect on the incidence of T2D;this, combined with the large impact of diabetes on adult mortality, generates increases in mortality that translate into losses of 2 to 3 years of life expectancy at age 50.
  
  
  CONCLUSIONS
  If increasing trends in obesity in Mexico continue as in the past, progress in adult survival may be slowed down considerably and the incidence of T2D will continue to increase.
authors.affiliation: University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, Wisconsin, Estados Unidos de América.
authors.forename: Alberto
authors.initials: A
authors.lastname: Palloni
authors.affiliation: University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, Wisconsin, Estados Unidos de América.
authors.forename: Hiram
authors.initials: H
authors.lastname: Beltrán-Sánchez
authors.affiliation: El Colegio de México, México, Distrito Federal, México.
authors.forename: Beatriz
authors.initials: B
authors.lastname: Novak
authors.affiliation: El Colegio de México, México, Distrito Federal, México.
authors.forename: Guido
authors.initials: G
authors.lastname: Pinto
authors.affiliation: University of Texas, Galveston, Texas, Estados Unidos de América.
authors.forename: Rebeca
authors.initials: R
authors.lastname: Wong
mesh_terms: D000368:Aged; D002908:Chronic Disease / Q000401:mortality; D003906:Developing Countries; D003924:Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2 / Q000401:mortality*; D005260:Female; D005500:Follow-Up Studies; D006306:Health Surveys; D006331:Heart Diseases / Q000453:epidemiology; D006801:Humans; D015994:Incidence; D008136:Longevity; D008297:Male; D008800:Mexico / Q000453:epidemiology; D008875:Middle Aged; D009026:Mortality / Q000639:trends; D009369:Neoplasms / Q000453:epidemiology; D009765:Obesity / Q000401:mortality; D050177:Overweight / Q000401:mortality*; D016016:Proportional Hazards Models; D011446:Prospective Studies; D012307:Risk Factors; D012959:Socioeconomic Factors