title: Spatiotemporal trends in the discovery of new swine infectious agents.
abstract: A literature review was conducted to assess the spatiotemporal trend and diversity of infectious agents that were newly found in pigs between 1985 and 2010. We identified 173 new variants from 91 species, of which 73 species had not been previously described in pigs. These new species, of which one third was zoonotic, were taxonomically diverse. They were identified throughout the study period, predominantly in the main pork producing countries, with the rate of discovery of new virus variants doubling within the last 10 years of the study period. Whilst infectious agent species newly detected in high-income countries were more likely to be associated with higher virulence, zoonotic agents prevailed in low- and middle-income countries. Although this trend is influenced by factors conditioning infectious agent detection - diagnostic methods, surveillance efforts, research interests -, it may suggest that different scales and types of production systems promote emergence of certain types of infectious agents. Considering the rapid transformation of the swine industry, concerted efforts are needed for improving our understanding of the factors influencing the emergence of infectious agents. This information then needs to inform the design of risk-based surveillance systems and strategies directly mitigating the risk associated with these factors.
authors.affiliation: Veterinary Epidemiology, Economics and Public Health Group, Department of Production and Population Health, Royal Veterinary College, University of London, London, UK. gfournie@rvc.ac.uk.
authors.forename: Guillaume
authors.initials: G
authors.lastname: Fournié
authors.affiliation: Veterinary Epidemiology, Economics and Public Health Group, Department of Production and Population Health, Royal Veterinary College, University of London, London, UK. liannekearsleyfleet@gmail.com.
authors.forename: Lianne
authors.initials: L
authors.lastname: Kearsley-Fleet
authors.affiliation: Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, Regional Office for Asia and the Pacific, Bangkok, Thailand. Joachim.Otte@fao.org.
authors.forename: Joachim
authors.initials: J
authors.lastname: Otte
authors.affiliation: Veterinary Epidemiology, Economics and Public Health Group, Department of Production and Population Health, Royal Veterinary College, University of London, London, UK. pfeiffer@rvc.ac.uk.
authors.forename: Dirk Udo
authors.initials: DU
authors.lastname: Pfeiffer
mesh_terms: D000818:Animals; D001419:Bacteria / Q000145:classification / Q000302:isolation & purification; D056890:Eukaryota / Q000145:classification; D058507:Host Specificity; D013552:Swine; D013553:Swine Diseases / Q000382:microbiology* / Q000469:parasitology* / Q000821:virology; D014780:Viruses / Q000145:classification / Q000302:isolation & purification