title: Clinically significant chronic liver disease in people with Type 2 diabetes: the Edinburgh Type 2 Diabetes Study.
abstract: BACKGROUND
  Type 2 diabetes is an independent risk factor for chronic liver disease, however disease burden estimates and knowledge of prognostic indicators are lacking in community populations.
  
  
  OBJECTIVE
  To describe the prevalence and incidence of clinically significant chronic liver disease amongst community-based older people with Type 2 diabetes and to determine risk factors which might assist in discriminating patients with unknown prevalent or incident disease.
  
  
  METHODS
  Prospective cohort study.
  
  
  METHODS
  Nine hundred and thirty-nine participants in the Edinburgh Type 2 Diabetes Study underwent investigation including liver ultrasound and non-invasive measures of non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), hepatic fibrosis and systemic inflammation. Over 6-years, cases of cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma were collated from multiple sources.
  
  
  RESULTS
  Eight patients had known prevalent disease with 13 further unknown cases identified (prevalence 2.2%) and 15 incident cases (IR 2.9/1000 person-years). Higher levels of systemic inflammation, NASH and hepatic fibrosis markers were associated with both unknown prevalent and incident clinically significant chronic liver disease (allP < 0.001).
  
  
  CONCLUSIONS
  Our study investigations increased the known prevalence of clinically significant chronic liver disease by over 150%, confirming the suspicion of a large burden of undiagnosed disease. The disease incidence rate was lower than anticipated but still much higher than the general population rate. The ability to identify patients both with and at risk of developing clinically significant chronic liver disease allows for early intervention and clinical monitoring strategies. Ongoing work, with longer follow-up, including analysis of rates of liver function decline, will be used to define optimal risk prediction tools.
authors.affiliation: From the Centre for Population Health Sciences, University of Edinburgh, Old Medical Buildings, Teviot Place, Edinburgh EH8 9AG, UK J.morling@ed.ac.uk.
authors.forename: J R
authors.initials: JR
authors.lastname: Morling
authors.affiliation: Queen's Medical Research Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.
authors.forename: J A
authors.initials: JA
authors.lastname: Fallowfield
authors.affiliation: NIHR Nottingham Digestive Diseases Biomedical Research Unit, University of Nottingham, Nottingham, UK.
authors.forename: I N
authors.initials: IN
authors.lastname: Guha
authors.affiliation: Department of Metabolic Medicine, Edinburgh, UK.
authors.forename: R M
authors.initials: RM
authors.lastname: Williamson
authors.affiliation: Department of Metabolic Medicine, Edinburgh, UK.
authors.forename: M
authors.initials: M
authors.lastname: Ali
authors.affiliation: Department of Radiology, Western General Hospital, Edinburgh, UK.
authors.forename: S
authors.initials: S
authors.lastname: Glancy
authors.affiliation: Department of Metabolic Medicine, Edinburgh, UK.
authors.forename: M W J
authors.initials: MW
authors.lastname: Strachan
authors.affiliation: From the Centre for Population Health Sciences, University of Edinburgh, Old Medical Buildings, Teviot Place, Edinburgh EH8 9AG, UK.
authors.forename: J F
authors.initials: JF
authors.lastname: Price
mesh_terms: D000368:Aged; D015415:Biomarkers / Q000032:analysis*; D003924:Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2 / Q000150:complications*; D005260:Female; D006801:Humans; D015994:Incidence; D008103:Liver Cirrhosis / Q000453:epidemiology*; D008297:Male; D008875:Middle Aged; D065626:Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease / Q000453:epidemiology*; D011446:Prospective Studies; D012307:Risk Factors; D006113:United Kingdom / Q000453:epidemiology
chemical_list: D015415:Biomarkers