title: A Horizon Scan of Global Conservation Issues for 2016.
abstract: This paper presents the results of our seventh annual horizon scan, in which we aimed to identify issues that could have substantial effects on global biological diversity in the future, but are not currently widely well known or understood within the conservation community. Fifteen issues were identified by a team that included researchers, practitioners, professional horizon scanners, and journalists. The topics include use of managed bees as transporters of biological control agents, artificial superintelligence, electric pulse trawling, testosterone in the aquatic environment, building artificial oceanic islands, and the incorporation of ecological civilization principles into government policies in China.
authors.affiliation: Conservation Science Group, Department of Zoology, Cambridge University, Downing Street, Cambridge, CB2 3EJ, UK. Electronic address: w.sutherland@zoo.cam.ac.uk.
authors.forename: William J
authors.initials: WJ
authors.lastname: Sutherland
authors.affiliation: TRAFFIC International, The David Attenborough Building, Pembroke Street, Cambridge, CB2 3QZ, UK.
authors.forename: Steven
authors.initials: S
authors.lastname: Broad
authors.affiliation: British Ecological Society, Charles Darwin House, 12 Roger Street, London, WC1N 2JL, UK.
authors.forename: Jacqueline
authors.initials: J
authors.lastname: Caine
authors.affiliation: Centre for Biodiversity and Biosecurity, School of Biological Sciences, University of Auckland, PB 92019, Auckland, New Zealand.
authors.forename: Mick
authors.initials: M
authors.lastname: Clout
authors.affiliation: Conservation Science Group, Department of Zoology, Cambridge University, Downing Street, Cambridge, CB2 3EJ, UK.
authors.forename: Lynn V
authors.initials: LV
authors.lastname: Dicks
authors.affiliation: Natural England, Eastbrook, Shaftesbury Road, Cambridge, CB2 8DR, UK.
authors.forename: Helen
authors.initials: H
authors.lastname: Doran
authors.affiliation: Fauna and Flora International, The David Attenborough Building, Pembroke Street, Cambridge, CB2 3QZ, UK.
authors.forename: Abigail C
authors.initials: AC
authors.lastname: Entwistle
authors.affiliation: John Muir Institute of the Environment, The Barn, One Shields Avenue, University of California, Davis, CA 95616, USA.
authors.forename: Erica
authors.initials: E
authors.lastname: Fleishman
authors.affiliation: RSPB Centre for Conservation Science, Royal Society for the Protection of Birds, The Lodge, Sandy, Bedfordshire, SG19 2DL, UK.
authors.forename: David W
authors.initials: DW
authors.lastname: Gibbons
authors.affiliation: 721 Ohio Street, Bangor, ME 04401, USA.
authors.forename: Brandon
authors.initials: B
authors.lastname: Keim
authors.affiliation: Environment Agency, Horizon House, Deanery Road, Bristol, BS1 5AH, UK.
authors.forename: Becky
authors.initials: B
authors.lastname: LeAnstey
authors.affiliation: Institute for Environment, Health, Risks and Futures, Cranfield University, Cranfield, MK43 0AL, UK.
authors.forename: Fiona A
authors.initials: FA
authors.lastname: Lickorish
authors.affiliation: The Economist, 25 St James's Street, London, SW1A 1HG, UK.
authors.forename: Paul
authors.initials: P
authors.lastname: Markillie
authors.affiliation: Natural Resources Wales, Cambria House, 29 Newport Road, Cardiff, CF24 0TP, UK.
authors.forename: Kathryn A
authors.initials: KA
authors.lastname: Monk
authors.affiliation: JNCC, Monkstone House, City Road, Peterborough, PE1 1UA, UK.
authors.forename: Diana
authors.initials: D
authors.lastname: Mortimer
authors.affiliation: Conservation Science Group, Department of Zoology, Cambridge University, Downing Street, Cambridge, CB2 3EJ, UK.
authors.forename: Nancy
authors.initials: N
authors.lastname: Ockendon
authors.affiliation: BTO, The Nunnery, Thetford, Norfolk, IP24 2PU, UK.
authors.forename: James W
authors.initials: JW
authors.lastname: Pearce-Higgins
authors.affiliation: British Antarctic Survey, Natural Environment Research Council, High Cross, Madingley Road, Cambridge, CB3 0ET, UK.
authors.forename: Lloyd S
authors.initials: LS
authors.lastname: Peck
authors.affiliation: Department of Biological Sciences, University of Essex, Colchester, CO4 3SQ, UK.
authors.forename: Jules
authors.initials: J
authors.lastname: Pretty
authors.affiliation: Stockholm Resilience Center, Stockholm University, Kräftriket2B, SE-106 19 Stockholm, Sweden.
authors.forename: Johan
authors.initials: J
authors.lastname: Rockström
authors.affiliation: Global Marine Team, The Nature Conservancy, Department of Physical, Earth, and Environmental Sciences, University of Siena, Pian dei Mantellini, 44, 53100 Siena, Italy.
authors.forename: Mark D
authors.initials: MD
authors.lastname: Spalding
authors.affiliation: Wetlands International, P.O. Box 471, 6700 AL Wageningen, The Netherlands.
authors.forename: Femke H
authors.initials: FH
authors.lastname: Tonneijck
authors.affiliation: Quantitative and Applied Ecology Group, Centre of Excellence for Biosecurity Risk Analysis, School of BioSciences, University of Melbourne, Victoria 3010, Australia.
authors.forename: Bonnie C
authors.initials: BC
authors.lastname: Wintle
authors.affiliation: Natural Environment Research Council, Polaris House, North Star Avenue, Swindon, SN2 1EU, UK.
authors.forename: Katherine E
authors.initials: KE
authors.lastname: Wright
mesh_terms: D000818:Animals; D001516:Bees; D044822:Biodiversity; D002681:China; D003247:Conservation of Natural Resources / Q000639:trends*; D058735:Environmental Policy
keywords: biological diversity; environmental opportunity; environmental threat; foresight; futures; horizon scanning