title: Survival Prognosis in Very Old Adults.
abstract: OBJECTIVE
  To determine whether simple functional indicators are predictors of survival prognosis in very old adults.
  
  
  METHODS
  In-person survey conducted over a 3-month period in 1998; assessment of survival over a 15-year follow-up period.
  
  
  METHODS
  Denmark.
  
  
  METHODS
  All 3,600 Danes born in 1905 and living in Denmark in 1998, were invited to participate regardless of residence and health; 2,262 (63%) participated in the survey: 1,814 (80.2%) in person and 448 (19.8%) through a proxy.
  
  
  METHODS
  Socioeconomic factors, medications and diseases, activities of daily living, physical performance, cognition, depression symptomatology, self-rated health, and all-cause mortality, evaluated as average remaining lifespan and chance of surviving to 100 years.
  
  
  RESULTS
  Men aged 92 to 93 had an overall 6.0% chance of surviving to 100 years, whereas the chance for women was 11.4%. Being able to rise without use of hands increased the chance for men to 11.2% (95% confidence interval (CI)=7.7-14.7) and for women to 22.0% (95% CI=18.9-25.1). When combining this with a Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE) scores from 28 to 30, the chances were 21.7% (95% CI=11.5-31.9) for men and 34.2% (95% CI=24.8-43.5) for women.
  
  
  CONCLUSIONS
  Chair stand score combined with MMSE score is a quick and easy way to estimate overall chance of survival in very old adults, which is particularly relevant when treatment with potential side effects for nonacute diseases is considered.
authors.affiliation: Danish Aging Research Center, University of Southern Denmark, Odense, Denmark.|Epidemiology, Biostatistics and Biodemography, University of Southern Denmark, Odense, Denmark.
authors.forename: Mikael
authors.initials: M
authors.lastname: Thinggaard
authors.affiliation: Epidemiology, Biostatistics and Biodemography, University of Southern Denmark, Odense, Denmark.|Department of Psychology, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, Minnesota.
authors.forename: Matt
authors.initials: M
authors.lastname: McGue
authors.affiliation: Danish Aging Research Center, University of Southern Denmark, Odense, Denmark.|Epidemiology, Biostatistics and Biodemography, University of Southern Denmark, Odense, Denmark.
authors.forename: Bernard
authors.initials: B
authors.lastname: Jeune
authors.affiliation: Danish Aging Research Center, University of Southern Denmark, Odense, Denmark.|Research Centre for Prevention and Health, Glostrup University Hospital, Glostrup, Denmark.
authors.forename: Merete
authors.initials: M
authors.lastname: Osler
authors.affiliation: Danish Aging Research Center, University of Southern Denmark, Odense, Denmark.|Epidemiology, Biostatistics and Biodemography, University of Southern Denmark, Odense, Denmark.|Max-Planck Odense Center on the Biodemography of Aging, University of Southern Denmark, Odense, Denmark.|Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany.
authors.forename: James W
authors.initials: JW
authors.lastname: Vaupel
authors.affiliation: Danish Aging Research Center, University of Southern Denmark, Odense, Denmark.|Epidemiology, Biostatistics and Biodemography, University of Southern Denmark, Odense, Denmark.|Max-Planck Odense Center on the Biodemography of Aging, University of Southern Denmark, Odense, Denmark.|Department of Clinical Genetics, Odense University Hospital, Odense, Denmark.|Department of Clinical Biochemistry and Pharmacology, Odense University Hospital, Odense, Denmark.
authors.forename: Kaare
authors.initials: K
authors.lastname: Christensen
mesh_terms: D000203:Activities of Daily Living; D000369:Aged, 80 and over; D003071:Cognition; D003718:Denmark / Q000453:epidemiology; D005260:Female; D005544:Forecasting; D015577:Geriatric Assessment / Q000379:methods*; D006801:Humans; D008297:Male; D011379:Prognosis; D012189:Retrospective Studies; D016019:Survival Analysis; D015996:Survival Rate / Q000639:trends
keywords: Mini-Mental State Examination; chair stand; clinical decision; mortality; nonagenarians