title: Nomograms for Pre-operative and Post-operative Prediction of Long-Term Survival of Patients Who Underwent Repeat Hepatectomy for Recurrent Hepatocellular Carcinoma.
abstract: Repeat hepatectomy (re-hepatectomy) is an effective treatment for patients with intrahepatic recurrence following liver resection for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).
  
  
  
  This study aimed to develop nomograms for predicting prognosis after re-hepatectomy.
  
  
  
  The data of 635 patients who underwent re-hepatectomy for recurrent HCC at the Eastern Hepatobiliary Surgery Hospital between 2004 and 2010 were prospectively collected. Multivariable Cox regression analyses based on data obtained before and after re-hepatectomy were performed to select independent predictors of recurrence to death survival (RTDS) which were incorporated into the pre- or post-re-hepatectomy nomograms. Discrimination and calibration of the nomograms were measured using the concordance index (C-index), Kaplan-Meier curves, and calibration plots.
  
  
  
  The 1-, 3- and 5-year overall survival rates were 96.9, 74.8, and 47.8 %, respectively, and the corresponding RTDS rates were 75.8, 45.7, and 37.6 %, respectively. Tumor size and number at the initial and recurrent stages, time to recurrence from the initial hepatectomy, hepatitis B virus deoxyribonucleic acid level and microvascular invasion were selected into the two nomograms. The C-indexes for predicting RTDS were 0.72 [95 % confidence interval (CI) 0.70-0.74] and 0.77 (95 % CI 0.74-0.80) for the pre- or post-re-hepatectomy nomograms, respectively. The calibration curves for the probability of 5-year RTDS after re-hepatectomy showed optimal agreement between the prediction shown in the nomograms and the actual observations. Both nomograms were able to accurately stratify patients into four distinct incremental prognostic subgroups.
  
  
  
  The proposed nomograms have shown accurate RTDS prediction for patients with intrahepatic recurrent HCC.
authors.affiliation: Department of Hepatic Surgery, The Eastern Hepatobiliary Surgery Hospital, Second Military Medical University, Shanghai, China.
authors.forename: Qifei
authors.initials: Q
authors.lastname: Zou
authors.affiliation: Department of Hepatic Surgery, The Eastern Hepatobiliary Surgery Hospital, Second Military Medical University, Shanghai, China.
authors.forename: Jun
authors.initials: J
authors.lastname: Li
authors.affiliation: Department of Clinical Database, The Eastern Hepatobiliary Surgery Hospital, Second Military Medical University, Shanghai, China.
authors.forename: Dong
authors.initials: D
authors.lastname: Wu
authors.affiliation: Department of Hepatic Surgery, The Eastern Hepatobiliary Surgery Hospital, Second Military Medical University, Shanghai, China.
authors.forename: Zhenlin
authors.initials: Z
authors.lastname: Yan
authors.affiliation: Department of Clinical Database, The Eastern Hepatobiliary Surgery Hospital, Second Military Medical University, Shanghai, China.
authors.forename: Xuying
authors.initials: X
authors.lastname: Wan
authors.affiliation: Department of Hepatic Surgery, The Eastern Hepatobiliary Surgery Hospital, Second Military Medical University, Shanghai, China.
authors.forename: Kui
authors.initials: K
authors.lastname: Wang
authors.affiliation: Department of Hepatic Surgery, The Eastern Hepatobiliary Surgery Hospital, Second Military Medical University, Shanghai, China.|Department of Clinical Database, The Eastern Hepatobiliary Surgery Hospital, Second Military Medical University, Shanghai, China.
authors.forename: Lehua
authors.initials: L
authors.lastname: Shi
authors.affiliation: Department of Hepatic Surgery, The Eastern Hepatobiliary Surgery Hospital, Second Military Medical University, Shanghai, China.|Faculty of Medicine, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, SAR, China.
authors.forename: Wan Yee
authors.initials: WY
authors.lastname: Lau
authors.affiliation: Department of Hepatic Surgery, The Eastern Hepatobiliary Surgery Hospital, Second Military Medical University, Shanghai, China.
authors.forename: Mengchao
authors.initials: M
authors.lastname: Wu
authors.affiliation: Department of Hepatic Surgery, The Eastern Hepatobiliary Surgery Hospital, Second Military Medical University, Shanghai, China. shenfengehbh@sina.com.
authors.forename: Feng
authors.initials: F
authors.lastname: Shen
mesh_terms: D006528:Carcinoma, Hepatocellular / Q000401:mortality* / Q000473:pathology / Q000601:surgery; D005260:Female; D005500:Follow-Up Studies; D006498:Hepatectomy / Q000401:mortality*; D006801:Humans; D008113:Liver Neoplasms / Q000401:mortality* / Q000473:pathology / Q000601:surgery; D008297:Male; D008875:Middle Aged; D009364:Neoplasm Recurrence, Local / Q000401:mortality* / Q000473:pathology / Q000601:surgery; D049451:Nomograms; D011182:Postoperative Care; D011300:Preoperative Care; D012086:Reoperation / Q000401:mortality*; D015996:Survival Rate; D016896:Treatment Outcome