title: The dynamics of deferred decision.
abstract: Decision makers are often unable to choose between the options that they are offered. In these settings they typically defer their decision, that is, delay the decision to a later point in time or avoid the decision altogether. In this paper, we outline eight behavioral findings regarding the causes and consequences of choice deferral that cognitive theories of decision making should be able to capture. We show that these findings can be accounted for by a deferral-based time limit applied to existing sequential sampling models of preferential choice. Our approach to modeling deferral as a time limit in a sequential sampling model also makes a number of novel predictions regarding the interactions between choice probabilities, deferral probabilities, and decision times, and we confirm these predictions in an experiment. Choice deferral is a key feature of everyday decision making, and our paper illustrates how established theoretical approaches can be used to understand the cognitive underpinnings of this important behavioral phenomenon.
authors.affiliation: University of Pennsylvania, United States. Electronic address: bhatiasu@sas.upenn.edu.
authors.forename: Sudeep
authors.initials: S
authors.lastname: Bhatia
authors.affiliation: University of Warwick, United Kingdom.
authors.forename: Timothy L
authors.initials: TL
authors.lastname: Mullett
mesh_terms: D002755:Choice Behavior; D003657:Decision Making; D005260:Female; D006801:Humans; D016015:Logistic Models; D008297:Male; D008962:Models, Theoretical; D011336:Probability; D013997:Time Factors; D055815:Young Adult
keywords: Choice deferral; Choice overload; Decision making; Decision time; Sequential sampling