title: [Evaluation and prognosis of health loss among able-bodied population: risks and problems in modernization of Russian regions].
abstract: The authors justified a method to evaluate and forecast risk of medical and demographic losses connected with influence of variable environmental factors on mortality and morbidity parameters among able-bodied population Suggested methods and approaches were tested and exemplified by Far East and North Caucases regions orientated to advanced and modernization development strategies. Mathematic modelling results helped to characterize relationships between environmental and social economic risk factors with health responses. These factors appear to form annua probable regional losses varying from tens to over thousand of deaths among economically active individuals and up to several hundreds of disablement cases. Progressive labor deficit and worse health among economically active populatior appeared to be major obstacles on the way to modernization of Russian regions. The article is prepared within scientific program by Perm' State National Research University according to task giver by RF Education and Science Ministry in 2015 (project N 929, head--E.B. Plotnikova).
authors.forename: N V
authors.initials: NV
authors.lastname: Zaitseva
authors.forename: N A
authors.initials: NA
authors.lastname: Lebedeva-Nesevrya
authors.forename: E B
authors.initials: EB
authors.lastname: Plotnikova
authors.forename: I A
authors.initials: IA
authors.lastname: Germanov
mesh_terms: D006305:Health Status Indicators; D011634:Public Health; D011788:Quality of Life; D012307:Risk Factors; D012426:Russia; D012939:Social Planning