title: Decision support framework for evaluating the operational environment of forest bioenergy production and use: Case of four European countries.
abstract: Complex policy-making situations around bioenergy production and use require examination of the operational environment of the society and a participatory approach. This paper presents and demonstrates a three-phase decision-making framework for analysing the operational environment of strategies related to increased forest bioenergy targets. The framework is based on SWOT (strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats) analysis and the Simple Multi-Attribute Rating Technique (SMART). Stakeholders of four case countries (Finland, Germany, Norway and Slovenia) defined the factors that affect the operational environments, classified in four pre-set categories (Forest Characteristics and Management, Policy Framework, Technology and Science, and Consumers and Society). The stakeholders participated in weighting of SWOT items for two future scenarios with SMART technique. The first scenario reflected the current 2020 targets (the Business-as-Usual scenario), and the second scenario contained a further increase in the targets (the Increase scenario). This framework can be applied to various problems of environmental management and also to other fields where public decision-making is combined with stakeholders' engagement. The case results show that the greatest differences between the scenarios appear in Germany, indicating a notably negative outlook for the Increase scenario, while the smallest differences were found in Finland. Policy Framework was a highly rated category across the countries, mainly with respect to weaknesses and threats. Intensified forest bioenergy harvesting and utilization has potentially wide country-specific impacts which need to be anticipated and considered in national policies and public dialogue.
authors.affiliation: University of Ljubljana, Biotechnical Faculty, Department of Forestry and Renewable Forest Resources, Večna pot 83, 1000 Ljubljana, Slovenia. Electronic address: spela.pezdevsek.malovrh@bf.uni-lj.si.
authors.forename: Špela
authors.initials: Š
authors.lastname: Pezdevšek Malovrh
authors.affiliation: Natural Resources Institute Finland (Luke), Bio-based Business and Industry, PO Box 68, FI-80101 Joensuu, Finland.
authors.forename: Mikko
authors.initials: M
authors.lastname: Kurttila
authors.affiliation: Natural Resources Institute Finland (Luke), Bio-based Business and Industry, Koetilantie 5, FI-00790 Helsinki, Finland.
authors.forename: Teppo
authors.initials: T
authors.lastname: Hujala
authors.affiliation: Natural Resources Institute Finland (Luke), Bio-based Business and Industry, PO Box 68, FI-80101 Joensuu, Finland.
authors.forename: Leena
authors.initials: L
authors.lastname: Kärkkäinen
authors.affiliation: University of Ljubljana, Biotechnical Faculty, Department of Forestry and Renewable Forest Resources, Večna pot 83, 1000 Ljubljana, Slovenia.
authors.forename: Vasja
authors.initials: V
authors.lastname: Leban
authors.affiliation: Norwegian University of Life Sciences, Department of Ecology and Natural Resource Management, PO Box 5003, NO-1432, Norway.
authors.forename: Berit H
authors.initials: BH
authors.lastname: Lindstad
authors.affiliation: University of Freiburg, Faculty of Environment and Natural Resources, Tennenbacher Str. 4, 79106 Freiburg, Germany.
authors.forename: Dörte Marie
authors.initials: DM
authors.lastname: Peters
authors.affiliation: University of Freiburg, Faculty of Environment and Natural Resources, Tennenbacher Str. 4, 79106 Freiburg, Germany.
authors.forename: Regina
authors.initials: R
authors.lastname: Rhodius
authors.affiliation: Norwegian University of Life Sciences, Department of Ecology and Natural Resource Management, PO Box 5003, NO-1432, Norway.
authors.forename: Birger
authors.initials: B
authors.lastname: Solberg
authors.affiliation: Forest Research Institute of Baden-Württemberg, Wonnhaldestrasse 4, 79100 Freiburg, Germany.
authors.forename: Kristina
authors.initials: K
authors.lastname: Wirth
authors.affiliation: University of Ljubljana, Biotechnical Faculty, Department of Forestry and Renewable Forest Resources, Večna pot 83, 1000 Ljubljana, Slovenia.
authors.forename: Lidija
authors.initials: L
authors.lastname: Zadnik Stirn
authors.affiliation: University of Ljubljana, Biotechnical Faculty, Department of Forestry and Renewable Forest Resources, Večna pot 83, 1000 Ljubljana, Slovenia.
authors.forename: Janez
authors.initials: J
authors.lastname: Krč
mesh_terms: D056804:Biofuels; D003657:Decision Making; D003661:Decision Support Techniques; D058735:Environmental Policy; D005387:Finland; D016468:Forestry / Q000379:methods*; D065928:Forests; D005858:Germany; D006801:Humans; D009664:Norway; D011050:Policy Making; D017524:Slovenia
chemical_list: D056804:Biofuels
keywords: Biomass production; Increased use; National bioenergy strategies; Renewable energy; Stakeholder perception