The dynamic relationship between health expenditure and economic growth: is the health-led growth hypothesis valid for Turkey?
The well-known health-led growth hypothesis claims a positive correlation between health expenditure and economic growth. The aim of this paper is to empirically investigate the health-led growth hypothesis for the Turkish economy. The bound test approach, autoregressive-distributed lag approach (ARDL) and Kalman filter modeling are employed for the 1975-2013 period to examine the co-integration relationship between economic growth and health expenditure. The ARDL model is employed in order to investigate the long-term and short-term static relationship between health expenditure and economic growth. The results show that a 1 % increase in per-capita health expenditure will lead to a 0.434 % increase in per-capita gross domestic product. These findings are also supported by the Kalman filter model's results. Our findings show that the health-led growth hypothesis is supported for Turkey.
Department of Health Management, Trakya University, Edirne, Turkey. emreatilgan@trakya.edu.tr.
Emre
E
Atilgan
Department of Economics, Hacettepe University, Ankara, Turkey.
Dilek
D
Kilic
Republic of Turkey Prime Ministry Undersecretariat of Treasury, Ankara, Turkey.
Hasan Murat
HM
Ertugrul
D057217:Economic Development; D059066:Gross Domestic Product / Q000706:statistics & numerical data*; D005102:Health Expenditures / Q000706:statistics & numerical data*; D006801:Humans; D017059:Models, Econometric; D014421:Turkey
ARDL model; Bound test; Health-led growth hypothesis; Kalman filter method; Turkey