title: Stochastic ice stream dynamics.
abstract: Ice streams are narrow corridors of fast-flowing ice that constitute the arterial drainage network of ice sheets. Therefore, changes in ice stream flow are key to understanding paleoclimate, sea level changes, and rapid disintegration of ice sheets during deglaciation. The dynamics of ice flow are tightly coupled to the climate system through atmospheric temperature and snow recharge, which are known exhibit stochastic variability. Here we focus on the interplay between stochastic climate forcing and ice stream temporal dynamics. Our work demonstrates that realistic climate fluctuations are able to (i) induce the coexistence of dynamic behaviors that would be incompatible in a purely deterministic system and (ii) drive ice stream flow away from the regime expected in a steady climate. We conclude that environmental noise appears to be crucial to interpreting the past behavior of ice sheets, as well as to predicting their future evolution.
authors.affiliation: Department of Environment, Land and Infrastructure Engineering, Politecnico di Torino, 10129 Turin, Italy elisa.mantelli@polito.it.
authors.forename: Elisa
authors.identifier: 0000-0001-5096-7998
authors.initials: E
authors.lastname: Mantelli
authors.affiliation: Department of Environment, Land and Infrastructure Engineering, Politecnico di Torino, 10129 Turin, Italy.
authors.forename: Matteo Bernard
authors.initials: MB
authors.lastname: Bertagni
authors.affiliation: Department of Environment, Land and Infrastructure Engineering, Politecnico di Torino, 10129 Turin, Italy.
authors.forename: Luca
authors.initials: L
authors.lastname: Ridolfi
keywords: Hopf bifurcation; climate variability; ice streams; noise-induced phenomena