title: Spatial Proximity to Incidents of Community Violence Is Associated with Fewer Suicides in Urban California.
abstract: Suicide is a leading cause of premature mortality. Aspects of the social environment such as incidents of violence in the community may induce psychological distress and affect suicidality, but these determinants are not well understood. We conducted an ecological study using California vital statistics records, geocoded to address of the decedent, to examine whether proximity to homicide was associated with the occurrence of suicide in urban census tracts. For each urban tract (N = 7194) and each month in 2012, we assessed homicides in the tract or within buffer zones around the tract with a 1-month lag. We estimated two risk difference parameters that capture how suicide risk is related to differences in homicide exposure. Proximity to homicides was negatively associated with suicide occurrence after controlling for demographic factors, seasonality, and other confounders. Estimates suggest that the absence of homicides would be associated with a 4.2 % higher number of tract-months with one or more suicides (95 % confidence interval 2.2-6.0). This relationship was stronger in tracts that were wealthier, older, and less civically engaged. Results were robust to a wide variety of sensitivity tests. Contrary to expectations, we identified a consistent negative association of proximity to homicide with suicide occurrence. It may be that a homicide deters or distracts from suicidality or that aggression or hopelessness may be expressed as inward or outward directed violence in different settings. Further investigation is needed to identify the drivers of this association.
authors.affiliation: Division of Epidemiology, University of California-Berkeley School of Public Health, 50 University Hall, Berkeley, CA, 94704, USA. kecolson@berkeley.edu.
authors.forename: K Ellicott
authors.initials: KE
authors.lastname: Colson
authors.affiliation: Division of Epidemiology, University of California-Berkeley School of Public Health, 50 University Hall, Berkeley, CA, 94704, USA.
authors.forename: Jessica
authors.initials: J
authors.lastname: Galin
authors.affiliation: Division of Epidemiology, University of California-Berkeley School of Public Health, 50 University Hall, Berkeley, CA, 94704, USA.
authors.forename: Jennifer
authors.initials: J
authors.lastname: Ahern
mesh_terms: D000293:Adolescent; D000328:Adult; D002140:California; D000069581:Exposure to Violence; D005260:Female; D006801:Humans; D008297:Male; D008875:Middle Aged; D011159:Population Surveillance / Q000379:methods; D062206:Spatial Analysis; D013405:Suicide / Q000706:statistics & numerical data; D014754:Violence / Q000706:statistics & numerical data; D055815:Young Adult
keywords: Community violence; Social epidemiology; Spatial analysis; Suicide