title: Information leverage in interconnected ecosystems: Overcoming the curse of dimensionality.
abstract: In ecological analysis, complexity has been regarded as an obstacle to overcome. Here we present a straightforward approach for addressing complexity in dynamic interconnected systems. We show that complexity, in the form of multiple interacting components, can actually be an asset for studying natural systems from temporal data. The central idea is that multidimensional time series enable system dynamics to be reconstructed from multiple viewpoints, and these viewpoints can be combined into a single model. We show how our approach, multiview embedding (MVE), can improve forecasts for simulated ecosystems and a mesocosm experiment. By leveraging complexity, MVE is particularly effective for overcoming the limitations of short and noisy time series and should be highly relevant for many areas of science.
authors: Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California San Diego, 9500 Gilman Drive 0202, La Jolla, CA 92093-0202, USA.
authors: Hao
authors: H
authors: Ye
authors: Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California San Diego, 9500 Gilman Drive 0202, La Jolla, CA 92093-0202, USA. gsugihara@ucsd.edu.
authors: George
authors: G
authors: Sugihara
mesh_terms: D003198:Computer Simulation; D017753:Ecosystem