Reconstruction of Zika Virus Introduction in Brazil.
We estimated the speed of Zika virus introduction in Brazil by using confirmed cases at the municipal level. Our models indicate a southward pattern of introduction starting from the northeastern coast and a pattern of movement toward the western border with an average speed of spread of 42 km/day or 15,367 km/year.
Kate
K
Zinszer
Kathryn
K
Morrison
John S
JS
Brownstein
Fatima
F
Marinho
Alexandre F
AF
Santos
Elaine O
EO
Nsoesie
D001938:Brazil / Q000453:epidemiology; D004196:Disease Outbreaks; D062665:Epidemiological Monitoring; D006801:Humans; D015994:Incidence; D015233:Models, Statistical; D012621:Seasons; D000071244:Zika Virus / Q000472:pathogenicity / Q000502:physiology*; D000071243:Zika Virus Infection / Q000453:epidemiology* / Q000635:transmission* / Q000821:virology
Brazil; Zika; Zika viruses; epidemics; introduction; modeling; spatial analysis; speed; viruses