Communicating the results of criterion referenced prediction measures: Risk categories for the Static-99R and Static-2002R sexual offender risk assessment tools.
This article describes principles for developing risk category labels for criterion referenced prediction measures, and demonstrates their utility by creating new risk categories for the Static-99R and Static-2002R sexual offender risk assessment tools. Currently, risk assessments in corrections and forensic mental health are typically summarized in 1 of 3 words: low, moderate, or high. Although these risk labels have strong influence on decision makers, they are interpreted differently across settings, even among trained professionals. The current article provides a framework for standardizing risk communication by matching (a) the information contained in risk tools to (b) a broadly applicable classification of "riskiness" that is independent of any particular offender risk scale. We found that the new, common STATIC risk categories not only increase concordance of risk classification (from 51% to 72%)-they also allow evaluators to make the same inferences for offenders in the same category regardless of which instrument was used to assign category membership. More generally, we argue that the risk categories should be linked to the decisions at hand, and that risk communication can be improved by grounding these risk categories in evidence-based definitions. (PsycINFO Database Record
Public Safety Canada.
R Karl
RK
Hanson
Royal's Institute of Mental Health Research, University of Ottawa.
Kelly M
KM
Babchishin
L Maaike
LM
Helmus
Sand Ridge Secure Treatment Centre.
David
D
Thornton
Amy
A
Phenix
D000328:Adult; D057237:Criminals / Q000523:psychology* / Q000706:statistics & numerical data*; D006801:Humans; D008297:Male; D018570:Risk Assessment / Q000379:methods / Q000706:statistics & numerical data; D012742:Sex Offenses / Q000523:psychology* / Q000706:statistics & numerical data*; D011795:Surveys and Questionnaires / Q000592:standards*