title: Atypical viral dynamics from transport through popular places.
abstract: The flux of visitors through popular places undoubtedly influences viral spreading-from H1N1 and Zika viruses spreading through physical spaces such as airports, to rumors and ideas spreading through online spaces such as chat rooms and social media. However, there is a lack of understanding of the types of viral dynamics that can result. Here we present a minimal dynamical model that focuses on the time-dependent interplay between the mobility through and the occupancy of such spaces. Our generic model permits analytic analysis while producing a rich diversity of infection profiles in terms of their shapes, durations, and intensities. The general features of these theoretical profiles compare well to real-world data of recent social contagion phenomena.
authors.affiliation: Physics Department, University of Miami, Coral Gables, Florida 33126, USA.
authors.forename: Pedro D
authors.initials: PD
authors.lastname: Manrique
authors.affiliation: College of Physics, Optoelectronics and Energy, Soochow University, Suzhou 215006, China.
authors.forename: Chen
authors.initials: C
authors.lastname: Xu
authors.affiliation: Department of Physics, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shatin, Hong Kong.
authors.forename: Pak Ming
authors.initials: PM
authors.lastname: Hui
authors.affiliation: Physics Department, University of Miami, Coral Gables, Florida 33126, USA.
authors.forename: Neil F
authors.initials: NF
authors.lastname: Johnson
mesh_terms: D006801:Humans; D053118:Influenza A Virus, H1N1 Subtype / Q000502:physiology; D007251:Influenza, Human / Q000635:transmission*; D008962:Models, Theoretical; D000071244:Zika Virus / Q000502:physiology; D000071243:Zika Virus Infection / Q000635:transmission*