title: Estimation of influenza and severe acute respiratory illness incidence (burden) in three provinces of the Islamic Republic of Iran, 2012 and 2013.
abstract: There are few estimates of influenza burden in the WHO Region for the Eastern Mediterranean. In this study we estimated the burden of severe acute respiratory infection (SARI) and influenza-associated SARI (F-SARI) in selected provinces of Islamic Republic of Iran, the trends of SARI and confirmed cases of influenza (F-SARI) over 12 months (seasonality), and the age groups most at risk. Using the electronic Iranian influenza surveillance system and data of cases in sentinel hospitals of 3 selected provinces, we estimated the monthly trend (seasonality) of incidence for SARI and F-SARI, overall incidence of SARI and F-SARI and their disaggregation by age with the aid using the Monte Carlo technique. The age groups most at-risk were children aged under 2 years and adults older than 50 years.
authors.affiliation: Iranian Center for Communicable Disease Control.
authors.forename: M
authors.initials: M
authors.lastname: Gouya
authors.affiliation: Iranian Center for Communicable Disease Control.
authors.forename: F
authors.initials: F
authors.lastname: Rezaei
authors.affiliation: Kerman University of Medical Sciences and Health Services, Kerman, Islamic Republic of Iran.
authors.forename: A
authors.initials: A
authors.lastname: Haghdoost
authors.affiliation: Iranian Center for Communicable Disease Control.
authors.forename: M
authors.initials: M
authors.lastname: Nabavi
authors.affiliation: Iran University of Medical Sciences and Health Services, Tehran, Islamic Republic of Iran.
authors.forename: K Seif
authors.initials: KS
authors.lastname: Farahi
authors.affiliation: Epidemiology Department, Pasteur Institute of Iran, Tehran, Islamic Republic of Iran.
authors.forename: E
authors.initials: E
authors.lastname: Mostafavi
authors.affiliation: National Influenza Center, Tehran University of Medical Sciences and Health Services, Tehran, Islamic Republic of Iran.
authors.forename: T Mokhtari
authors.initials: TM
authors.lastname: Azad
authors.affiliation: Iranian Center for Communicable Disease Control.
authors.forename: H
authors.initials: H
authors.lastname: Akbari
authors.affiliation: Department of Surveillance.
authors.forename: M
authors.initials: M
authors.lastname: Soroush
authors.affiliation: IT Center, Ministry of Health and Medical Education, Tehran, Islamic Republic of Iran.
authors.forename: H
authors.initials: H
authors.lastname: Riazi
authors.affiliation: IT Center, Ministry of Health and Medical Education, Tehran, Islamic Republic of Iran.
authors.forename: E
authors.initials: E
authors.lastname: Bitaraf
authors.affiliation: Iranian Center for Communicable Disease Control.
authors.forename: M N
authors.initials: MN
authors.lastname: Dadras
authors.affiliation: Department of Disease Control and Prevention, Deputy for Public Health Affairs, Karaj University of Medical Sciences and Health Services, Islamic Republic of Iran.
authors.forename: H
authors.initials: H
authors.lastname: Barati
authors.affiliation: Department of Disease Control and Prevention, Deputy for Public Health Affairs, Karaj University of Medical Sciences and Health Services, Islamic Republic of Iran.
authors.forename: H
authors.initials: H
authors.lastname: Shakoori
authors.affiliation: Department of Disease Control and Prevention, Deputy for Public Health Affairs, Hamedan University of Medical Sciences and Health Services, Islamic Republic of Iran.
authors.forename: J
authors.initials: J
authors.lastname: Bathaei
authors.affiliation: Department of Disease Control and Prevention, Deputy for Public Health Affairs, Zanjan University of Medical Sciences and Health Services, Islamic Republic of Iran.
authors.forename: M
authors.initials: M
authors.lastname: Rezvani
authors.affiliation: Iranian Center for Communicable Disease Control.
authors.forename: P
authors.initials: P
authors.lastname: Hemmati
mesh_terms: D000293:Adolescent; D000328:Adult; D000368:Aged; D002648:Child; D002675:Child, Preschool; D017281:Cost of Illness; D005260:Female; D006801:Humans; D015994:Incidence; D007223:Infant; D007251:Influenza, Human / Q000453:epidemiology; D007492:Iran / Q000453:epidemiology; D008297:Male; D008875:Middle Aged; D012141:Respiratory Tract Infections / Q000453:epidemiology; D018571:Sentinel Surveillance; D012720:Severity of Illness Index; D055815:Young Adult