title: Zika virus: Endemic and epidemic ranges of Aedes mosquito transmission.
abstract: As evidence linking Zika virus with serious health complications strengthens, public health officials and clinicians worldwide need to know which locations are likely to be at risk for autochthonous Zika infections. We created risk maps for epidemic and endemic Aedes-borne Zika virus infections globally using a predictive analysis method that draws on temperature, precipitation, elevation, land cover, and population density variables to identify locations suitable for mosquito activity seasonally or year-round. Aedes mosquitoes capable of transmitting Zika and other viruses are likely to live year-round across many tropical areas in the Americas, Africa, and Asia. Our map provides an enhanced global projection of where vector control initiatives may be most valuable for reducing the risk of Zika virus and other Aedes-borne infections.
authors.affiliation: Esri, 8615 Westwood Center Dr., Vienna, VA 22182-2812, United States. Electronic address: DAttaway@esri.com.
authors.forename: David F
authors.initials: DF
authors.lastname: Attaway
authors.affiliation: University of Calgary, Calgary, AB, Canada. Electronic address: nwaters@gmu.edu.
authors.forename: Nigel M
authors.initials: NM
authors.lastname: Waters
authors.affiliation: Esri, Redlands, CA, United States. Electronic address: EGeraghty@esri.com.
authors.forename: Estella M
authors.initials: EM
authors.lastname: Geraghty
authors.affiliation: George Mason University, Fairfax, VA, United States. Electronic address: kjacobse@gmu.edu.
authors.forename: Kathryn H
authors.initials: KH
authors.lastname: Jacobsen
mesh_terms: D000330:Aedes / Q000254:growth & development* / Q000821:virology; D000818:Animals; D018562:Disease Transmission, Infectious; D014943:Global Health; D006801:Humans; D000072138:Mosquito Vectors; D058974:Phylogeography; D019371:Topography, Medical; D000071244:Zika Virus / Q000302:isolation & purification*; D000071243:Zika Virus Infection / Q000453:epidemiology* / Q000635:transmission*
keywords: Aedes modeling; Geographic information science; Geographic information systems; Risk mapping; Zika