title: Continuous and discrete SIR-models with spatial distributions.
abstract: The SIR-model is a basic epidemic model that classifies a population into three subgroups: susceptible S, infected I and removed R. This model does not take into consideration the spatial distribution of each subgroup, but considers the total number of individuals belonging to each subgroup. There are many variants of the SIR-model. For studying the spatial distribution, stochastic processes have often been introduced to describe the dispersion of individuals. Such assumptions do not seem to be applicable to humans, because almost everyone moves within a small fixed radius in practice. Even if individuals do not disperse, the transmission of disease occurs. In this paper, we do not assume the dispersion of individuals, and instead use the infectious radius. Then, we propose simple continuous and discrete SIR-models that show spatial distributions. The results of our simulations show that the propagation speed and size of an epidemic depend on the population density and the infectious radius.
authors: Department of Mathematics, Konkuk University, 1 Hwayang-dong, Gwangjin-gu, Seoul, 143-701, Korea. shpaeng@konkuk.ac.kr.
authors: Seong-Hun
authors: SH
authors: Paeng
authors: Department of Mathematics, Konkuk University, 1 Hwayang-dong, Gwangjin-gu, Seoul, 143-701, Korea.
authors: Jonggul
authors: J
authors: Lee
mesh_terms: D003141:Communicable Diseases / Q000453:epidemiology* / Q000635:transmission; D003198:Computer Simulation; D058872:Epidemics / Q000706:statistics & numerical data*; D006801:Humans; D008954:Models, Biological; D013269:Stochastic Processes
keywords: Infectious radius; SIR-model; Spatial distribution