title: The spatio-temporal relationship between alcohol outlets and violence before and after privatization: A natural experiment, Seattle, Wa 2010-2013.
abstract: Alcohol-related violence is a well-documented public health concern, where various individual and community-level factors contribute to this relationship. The purpose of this study is to examine the impact of a significant policy change at the local level, which privatized liquor sales and distribution. Specifically, we explored the relationship between alcohol and violence in Seattle, WA, 2010-2013, via hierarchical spatio-temporal disease mapping models. To measure and map this complex spatio-temporal relationship at the census block group level (n=567), we examined a variety of models using integrated nested Laplace approximations and used the deviance information criterion to gauge model complexity and fit. For each additional off-premises and on-premises alcohol outlet in a given census block group, we found a significant increase of 8% and 5% for aggravated assaults and 6% and 5% for non-aggravated assaults, respectively. Lastly, our maps showed variation in the estimated relative risks across the city of Seattle.
authors.affiliation: Drexel University, Dornsife School of Public Health, 3215 Market Street, Philadelphia, PA 19104, USA. Electronic address: lpp22@drexel.edu.
authors.forename: Loni Philip
authors.initials: LP
authors.lastname: Tabb
authors.affiliation: Drexel University, Dornsife School of Public Health, 3215 Market Street, Philadelphia, PA 19104, USA.
authors.forename: Lance
authors.initials: L
authors.lastname: Ballester
authors.affiliation: Center for Spatial Reasoning & Policy Analytics, Arizona State University, College of Public Service & Community Solutions, Phoenix, AZ, USA.
authors.forename: Tony H
authors.initials: TH
authors.lastname: Grubesic
mesh_terms: D000293:Adolescent; D000328:Adult; D000434:Alcoholic Beverages / Q000191:economics*; D002947:Cities; D003132:Commerce / Q000706:statistics & numerical data*; D005260:Female; D006801:Humans; D008297:Male; D011332:Privatization / Q000639:trends*; D062211:Spatio-Temporal Analysis; D014754:Violence / Q000706:statistics & numerical data*; D014861:Washington / Q000453:epidemiology; D055815:Young Adult
keywords: Alcohol outlet; Bayesian spatio-temporal; Violence