title: Early risk and protective factors for problem gambling: A systematic review and meta-analysis of longitudinal studies.
abstract: This systematic review aimed to identify early risk and protective factors (in childhood, adolescence or young adulthood) longitudinally associated with the subsequent development of gambling problems. A systematic search of peer-reviewed and grey literature from 1990 to 2015 identified 15 studies published in 23 articles. Meta-analyses quantified the effect size of 13 individual risk factors (alcohol use frequency, antisocial behaviours, depression, male gender, cannabis use, illicit drug use, impulsivity, number of gambling activities, problem gambling severity, sensation seeking, tobacco use, violence, undercontrolled temperament), one relationship risk factor (peer antisocial behaviours), one community risk factor (poor academic performance), one individual protective factor (socio-economic status) and two relationship protective factors (parent supervision, social problems). Effect sizes were on average small to medium and sensitivity analyses revealed that the results were generally robust to the quality of methodological approaches of the included articles. These findings highlight the need for global prevention efforts that reduce risk factors and screen young people with high-risk profiles. There is insufficient investigation of protective factors to adequately guide prevention initiatives. Future longitudinal research is required to identify additional risk and protective factors associated with problem gambling, particularly within the relationship, community, and societal levels of the socio-ecological model.
authors.affiliation: Deakin University, School of Psychology and Centre for Social and Early Emotional Development, Australia; Melbourne Graduate School of Education, University of Melbourne, Australia; Centre for Gambling Research, Australian National University, Australia. Electronic address: nicki.dowling@deakin.edu.au.
authors.forename: N A
authors.initials: NA
authors.lastname: Dowling
authors.affiliation: Deakin University, School of Psychology and Centre for Social and Early Emotional Development, Australia.
authors.forename: S S
authors.initials: SS
authors.lastname: Merkouris
authors.affiliation: Deakin University, School of Psychology and Centre for Social and Early Emotional Development, Australia.
authors.forename: C J
authors.initials: CJ
authors.lastname: Greenwood
authors.affiliation: Deakin University, School of Psychology and Centre for Social and Early Emotional Development, Australia.
authors.forename: E
authors.initials: E
authors.lastname: Oldenhof
authors.affiliation: Deakin University, School of Psychology and Centre for Social and Early Emotional Development, Australia.
authors.forename: J W
authors.initials: JW
authors.lastname: Toumbourou
authors.affiliation: Deakin University, School of Psychology and Centre for Social and Early Emotional Development, Australia.
authors.forename: G J
authors.initials: GJ
authors.lastname: Youssef
mesh_terms: D000428:Alcohol Drinking / Q000523:psychology; D003863:Depression / Q000150:complications / Q000523:psychology; D005260:Female; D005715:Gambling / Q000209:etiology* / Q000523:psychology; D006801:Humans; D007175:Impulsive Behavior; D008297:Male; D065840:Protective Factors; D012307:Risk Factors; D012737:Sex Factors
keywords: Gambling; Longitudinal studies; Protective factors; Risk factors; Systematic review; Youth