title: Bias correction in species distribution models: pooling survey and collection data for multiple species.
abstract: Presence-only records may provide data on the distributions of rare species, but commonly suffer from large, unknown biases due to their typically haphazard collection schemes. Presence-absence or count data collected in systematic, planned surveys are more reliable but typically less abundant.We proposed a probabilistic model to allow for joint analysis of presence-only and survey data to exploit their complementary strengths. Our method pools presence-only and presence-absence data for many species and maximizes a joint likelihood, simultaneously estimating and adjusting for the sampling bias affecting the presence-only data. By assuming that the sampling bias is the same for all species, we can borrow strength across species to efficiently estimate the bias and improve our inference from presence-only data.We evaluate our model's performance on data for 36 eucalypt species in south-eastern Australia. We find that presence-only records exhibit a strong sampling bias towards the coast and towards Sydney, the largest city. Our data-pooling technique substantially improves the out-of-sample predictive performance of our model when the amount of available presence-absence data for a given species is scarceIf we have only presence-only data and no presence-absence data for a given species, but both types of data for several other species that suffer from the same spatial sampling bias, then our method can obtain an unbiased estimate of the first species' geographic range.
authors.affiliation: Stanford University, Department of Statistics, 390 Serra Mall, Stanford, CA, USA 94305, USA.
authors.forename: William
authors.initials: W
authors.lastname: Fithian
authors.affiliation: School of Botany, University of Melbourne, Parkville, VIC 3010, Australia.
authors.forename: Jane
authors.initials: J
authors.lastname: Elith
authors.affiliation: Stanford University, Department of Statistics, 390 Serra Mall, Stanford, CA, USA 94305, USA.
authors.forename: Trevor
authors.initials: T
authors.lastname: Hastie
authors.affiliation: Centre for Ecosystem Science, University of New South Wales, Sydney 2052, NSW, Australia.
authors.forename: David A
authors.initials: DA
authors.lastname: Keith
keywords: presence-absence; presence-only; sampling bias; spatial point processes; species distribution models