title: [Cervical cancer mortality in the state of Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil, 1996-2010: time trends and projections up to 2030].
abstract: to analyze cervical cancer mortality trends in the state of Rio Grande do Norte and its health micro-regions from 1996 to 2010, as well as to make projections for five-year periods from 2011 to 2030.
  
  
  
  this was an ecological time series study; negative binomial regression was used to analyze trends and projections.
  
  
  
  rates above 5.0 deaths per 100,000 women were observed in all the micro-regions, with a stationary trend in the state as a whole and an upward trend in the micro-regions with the worst socioeconomic conditions; projections indicated reduction in mortality rates in the state, from 5.95/100,000 women (2006-2010) to 3.67 (2026-2030), although a 22% increase in the absolute number of deaths is expected.
  
  
  
  although a reduction in mortality rates is projected, they continue to be high, indicating the need for review and strengthening of the state's cervical cancer control program.
authors.affiliation: Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Norte, Escola de Saúde, Natal-RN, Brasil.
authors.forename: Aretha Maria Virgínio de
authors.initials: AM
authors.lastname: Sousa
authors.affiliation: Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Norte, Escola de Saúde, Natal-RN, Brasil.
authors.forename: Cinthia Carla Alves
authors.initials: CC
authors.lastname: Teixeira
authors.affiliation: Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Norte, Escola de Saúde, Natal-RN, Brasil.
authors.forename: Sidney da Silva
authors.initials: SD
authors.lastname: Medeiros
authors.affiliation: Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Norte, Escola de Saúde, Natal-RN, Brasil.
authors.forename: Samira Jucinara Claudino
authors.initials: SJ
authors.lastname: Nunes
authors.affiliation: Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Norte, Escola de Saúde, Natal-RN, Brasil.
authors.forename: Pétala Tuani Cândido de Oliveira
authors.initials: PT
authors.lastname: Salvador
authors.affiliation: Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Norte, Escola de Saúde, Natal-RN, Brasil.
authors.forename: Rosires Magali Bezerra de
authors.initials: RM
authors.lastname: Barros
authors.affiliation: Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Norte, Escola de Saúde, Natal-RN, Brasil.
authors.forename: Fernanda Fabíola Santos de
authors.initials: FF
authors.lastname: Lima
authors.affiliation: Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Norte, Escola de Saúde, Natal-RN, Brasil.
authors.forename: Gésica Gabriela Costa do
authors.initials: GG
authors.lastname: Nascimento
authors.affiliation: Instituto Nacional do Câncer, Hospital do Câncer III, Rio de Janeiro-RJ, Brasil.
authors.forename: Juliano Dos
authors.initials: JD
authors.lastname: Santos
authors.affiliation: Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Norte, Departamento de Saúde Coletiva, Natal-RN, Brasil.
authors.forename: Dyego Leandro Bezerra de
authors.initials: DL
authors.lastname: Souza
authors.affiliation: Secretaria Municipal de Saúde de Natal, Departamento de Vigilância Epidemiológica, Natal-RN, Brasil.
authors.forename: Aline Patrícia Dos Santos
authors.initials: AP
authors.lastname: Bezerra
authors.affiliation: Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Norte, Escola de Saúde, Natal-RN, Brasil.
authors.forename: Karina Cardoso
authors.initials: KC
authors.lastname: Meira
mesh_terms: D000328:Adult; D017677:Age Distribution; D000368:Aged; D000369:Aged, 80 and over; D001938:Brazil / Q000453:epidemiology; D005260:Female; D005544:Forecasting; D006801:Humans; D008875:Middle Aged; D009026:Mortality / Q000639:trends; D002583:Uterine Cervical Neoplasms / Q000401:mortality*; D055815:Young Adult