title: Resting Heart Rate Trajectory Pattern Predicts Arterial Stiffness in a Community-Based Chinese Cohort.
abstract: To examine whether the long-term resting heart rate (RHR) pattern can predict the risk of having arterial stiffness in a large ongoing cohort.
  
  
  
  This community-based cohort included 12 554 participants in the Kailun study, who were free of myocardial infarction, stroke, arrhythmia, and cancer. We used latent mixture modeling to identify RHR trajectories in 2006, 2008, and 2010. We used multivariate linear regression model to examine the association between RHR trajectory patterns and the risk of having arterial stiffness, which was assessed by brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity in 2010 to 2016. We adjusted for possible confounding factors, including socioeconomic status, lifestyle factors, use of medications, comorbidities, and serum concentrations of lipids, glucose, and high-sensitivity C-reactive proteins. We identified 5 distinct RHR trajectory patterns based on their 2006 status and on the pattern of change during 2006 to 2010 (low-stable, moderate-stable, moderate-increasing, elevated-decreasing, and elevated-stable). We found that individuals with elevated-stable RHR trajectory pattern had the highest brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity value and individuals with the low-stable RHR trajectory pattern had the lowest value (adjusted mean difference=157 cm/s; P<0.001). Adjusted odds ratio for risk of having arterial stiffness (brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity ≥1400 cm/s) was 4.14 (95% confidence interval, 2.61-6.57) relative to these 2 extreme categories. Consistently, a higher average RHR, a higher annual RHR increase rate, and a higher RHR variability were all associated with a higher risk of having arterial stiffness.
  
  
  
  Long-term RHR pattern is a strong predictor of having arterial stiffness.
authors.affiliation: From the Health Care Center, Kailuan Medical Group, Tangshan, China (S.C.); Vanderbilt Heart and Vascular Institute, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN (W.L.); Department of Cardiology (C.J., J.G., S.W.) and Department of Surgery (H.Y.), Kailuan General Hospital, Tangshan, China; Division of Endocrinology, Diabetes, and Hypertension, Brigham and Women's Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA (A.V.); and Department of Nutritional Sciences, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park (X.G.).
authors.forename: Shuohua
authors.initials: S
authors.lastname: Chen
authors.affiliation: From the Health Care Center, Kailuan Medical Group, Tangshan, China (S.C.); Vanderbilt Heart and Vascular Institute, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN (W.L.); Department of Cardiology (C.J., J.G., S.W.) and Department of Surgery (H.Y.), Kailuan General Hospital, Tangshan, China; Division of Endocrinology, Diabetes, and Hypertension, Brigham and Women's Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA (A.V.); and Department of Nutritional Sciences, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park (X.G.).
authors.forename: Weijuan
authors.initials: W
authors.lastname: Li
authors.affiliation: From the Health Care Center, Kailuan Medical Group, Tangshan, China (S.C.); Vanderbilt Heart and Vascular Institute, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN (W.L.); Department of Cardiology (C.J., J.G., S.W.) and Department of Surgery (H.Y.), Kailuan General Hospital, Tangshan, China; Division of Endocrinology, Diabetes, and Hypertension, Brigham and Women's Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA (A.V.); and Department of Nutritional Sciences, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park (X.G.).
authors.forename: Cheng
authors.initials: C
authors.lastname: Jin
authors.affiliation: From the Health Care Center, Kailuan Medical Group, Tangshan, China (S.C.); Vanderbilt Heart and Vascular Institute, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN (W.L.); Department of Cardiology (C.J., J.G., S.W.) and Department of Surgery (H.Y.), Kailuan General Hospital, Tangshan, China; Division of Endocrinology, Diabetes, and Hypertension, Brigham and Women's Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA (A.V.); and Department of Nutritional Sciences, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park (X.G.).
authors.forename: Anand
authors.initials: A
authors.lastname: Vaidya
authors.affiliation: From the Health Care Center, Kailuan Medical Group, Tangshan, China (S.C.); Vanderbilt Heart and Vascular Institute, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN (W.L.); Department of Cardiology (C.J., J.G., S.W.) and Department of Surgery (H.Y.), Kailuan General Hospital, Tangshan, China; Division of Endocrinology, Diabetes, and Hypertension, Brigham and Women's Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA (A.V.); and Department of Nutritional Sciences, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park (X.G.).
authors.forename: Jingli
authors.initials: J
authors.lastname: Gao
authors.affiliation: From the Health Care Center, Kailuan Medical Group, Tangshan, China (S.C.); Vanderbilt Heart and Vascular Institute, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN (W.L.); Department of Cardiology (C.J., J.G., S.W.) and Department of Surgery (H.Y.), Kailuan General Hospital, Tangshan, China; Division of Endocrinology, Diabetes, and Hypertension, Brigham and Women's Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA (A.V.); and Department of Nutritional Sciences, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park (X.G.).
authors.forename: Hui
authors.initials: H
authors.lastname: Yang
authors.affiliation: From the Health Care Center, Kailuan Medical Group, Tangshan, China (S.C.); Vanderbilt Heart and Vascular Institute, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN (W.L.); Department of Cardiology (C.J., J.G., S.W.) and Department of Surgery (H.Y.), Kailuan General Hospital, Tangshan, China; Division of Endocrinology, Diabetes, and Hypertension, Brigham and Women's Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA (A.V.); and Department of Nutritional Sciences, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park (X.G.).
authors.forename: Shouling
authors.initials: S
authors.lastname: Wu
authors.affiliation: From the Health Care Center, Kailuan Medical Group, Tangshan, China (S.C.); Vanderbilt Heart and Vascular Institute, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN (W.L.); Department of Cardiology (C.J., J.G., S.W.) and Department of Surgery (H.Y.), Kailuan General Hospital, Tangshan, China; Division of Endocrinology, Diabetes, and Hypertension, Brigham and Women's Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA (A.V.); and Department of Nutritional Sciences, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park (X.G.). xxg14@psu.edu drwusl@163.com.
authors.forename: Xiang
authors.initials: X
authors.lastname: Gao
mesh_terms: D000328:Adult; D055109:Ankle Brachial Index; D001161:Arteriosclerosis / Q000175:diagnosis / Q000453:epidemiology* / Q000503:physiopathology; D002681:China / Q000453:epidemiology; D004562:Electrocardiography; D005260:Female; D006339:Heart Rate; D006801:Humans; D016014:Linear Models; D016015:Logistic Models; D008297:Male; D008875:Middle Aged; D015999:Multivariate Analysis; D016017:Odds Ratio; D011379:Prognosis; D063177:Pulse Wave Analysis; D012146:Rest; D018570:Risk Assessment; D012307:Risk Factors; D012959:Socioeconomic Factors; D013997:Time Factors; D059289:Vascular Stiffness
keywords: ankle; atherosclerosis; cohort study; coronary artery disease