title: The Prognostic Validity of the Timed Up and Go Test With a Dual Task for Predicting the Risk of Falls in the Elderly.
abstract: Objective:The aim is to examine the prognostic validity of the Timed Up and Go Test with a cognitive and a manual dual task for predicting the risk of falls.Method:A follow-up study was performed. The data were recorded for 120 volunteers in an outpatient physiotherapy center, with a 12-month follow-up. The sample included 120 elderly men and women aged 60 to 87 years (Mage = 72.2 years) living at home. The main measurements were as follows: The Timed Up and Go Test (TUG), the TUG with a cognitive dual task (TUGcog), and the TUG with a manual dual task (TUGman) and falls.Results:In the 12-month follow-up, 37 persons (30.8%) had a locomotive fall. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve shows significant results for the TUGcog. The area under the curve is 0.65 (p= .008), with a 95% confidence interval (CI) = [0.55, 0.76]. For the TUGman, the area under the curve is 0.57 with a 95% CI = [0.45, 0.68], which is not significant (p= .256). For the TUG, the area under the curve is 0.58, which is not significant (p= .256), 95% CI = [0.47, 0.69].Conclusion:The TUGcog is a valid prognostic assessment to predict falls in community-dwelling elderly people.
authors.affiliation: Neuromuskuläres Therapiezentrum Dresden, Germany.
authors.forename: Martin
authors.initials: M
authors.lastname: Hofheinz
authors.affiliation: Neuromuskuläres Therapiezentrum Dresden, Germany.
authors.forename: Michael
authors.initials: M
authors.lastname: Mibs
keywords: assessments; dual task; fall risk; falls; validity