The effects of the lower ignition propensity cigarettes standard in Estonia: time-series analysis.
In 2011, the lower ignition propensity (LIP) standard for cigarettes was implemented in the European Union. Evidence about the impact of that safety measure is scarce.



The aim of this paper is to examine the effects of the LIP standard on fire safety in Estonia.



The absolute level of smoking-related fire incidents and related deaths was modelled using dynamic time-series regression analysis. The data about house fire incidents for the 2007-2013 period were obtained from the Estonian Rescue Board.



Implementation of the LIP standard has reduced the monthly level of smoking-related fires by 6.2 (p<0.01, SE=1.95) incidents and by 26% (p<0.01, SE=9%) when estimated on the log scale. Slightly weaker evidence was found about the fatality reduction effects of the LIP regulation. All results were confirmed through counterfactual models for non-smoking-related fire incidents and deaths.



This paper indicates that implementation of the LIP cigarettes standard has improved fire safety in Estonia.
Indrek
I
Saar
D003258:Consumer Behavior / Q000706:statistics & numerical data; D003257:Consumer Product Safety / Q000331:legislation & jurisprudence* / Q000592:standards; D004355:Drug Stability; D004957:Estonia / Q000453:epidemiology; D005390:Fires / Q000331:legislation & jurisprudence / Q000517:prevention & control*; D005411:Flame Retardants; D006801:Humans; D011482:Protective Devices; D017751:Safety Management / Q000331:legislation & jurisprudence*; D012907:Smoking; D019460:Tobacco Industry / Q000331:legislation & jurisprudence*; D062789:Tobacco Products / Q000592:standards*
D005411:Flame Retardants