title: The first born, their dispersal, and vole cycles.
abstract: On the basis of some empirical data and the existing theory of vole cycles, a new hypothesis is proposed. It explains cyclicity as an effect of obligatory dispersal of the first seasonal cohort of young (Y1) from their natal (optimal) habitats into vacant (suboptimal) habitats. This behaviour could evolve, because it increases contribution of genetic lineages with dispersing Y1, to subsequent generation. It is assumed that the dispersal of Y1 is common among vole species, it does not change during consecutive phases of the cycle, and it does not vary between cyclic and non-cyclic populations. It results in multiannual cycles only under a certain set of spatial and climatic conditions, which are discussed in a paper. Otherwise it results in annual dynamics.
authors.affiliation: Department of Wildlife Management, Agricultural University of Warsaw, Rakowiecka 26/30, 02-528, Warsaw, Poland.
authors.forename: J
authors.initials: J
authors.lastname: Gliwicz
keywords: Dispersal; Habitat heterogeneity; Rodent demography; Vole cycles; Winter survival