title: The influences of habitat, landscape structure and climate on local distribution patterns of the nuthatch (Sitta europaea L.).
abstract: The nuthatch, Sitta europaea L., is a small (23 g), cavity-nesting woodland bird which, since the 1970s, has been expanding its range in Britain. However, within this range, the species is notably scarce in an area of eastern England. This gap in the species distribution could arise for several reasons including habitat quality, local landscape structure, regional landscape structure and climate. Field surveys and logistic models of breeding nuthatch presence/absence were used to investigate the relative influences of habitat quality, landscape structure and climate on the prevalence of nuthatches in eastern England. Field surveys of woods in the study area indicated that habitat quality was sufficient to support a nuthatch population. A model of habitat occupancy in relation to local landscape structure, developed in the Netherlands, was applied to the study area. The number of breeding pairs predicted for the study area by the model was lower than expected from habitat area alone, suggesting an additional effect of isolation. However, observed numbers were even lower than those predicted by the model. To evaluate the possible roles of climate and large-scale landscape structure on distribution, presence/absence data of breeding nuthatches at the 10-km grid square scale were related to variables describing climate and the amount and dispersion of broadleaved woodland. While climate in the study area appeared suitable, models including landscape variables suggested that the study area as a whole was unlikely to support nuthatches. Although suitable habitat was available, woodland in the study area appeared to be too isolated from surrounding nuthatch populations for colonisation to be successful. This situation may change if current increases in both national and regional populations continue, thus increasing the number of potential colonists reaching the study area.
authors.affiliation: NERC Institute of Terrestrial Ecology, Monks Wood, Abbots Ripton, Huntingdon, Cambridgeshire, PE17 2LS, UK Fax: +44-1487-773467; e-mail: p.bellamy@ite.ac.uk, , , , , , GB.
authors.forename: P E
authors.initials: PE
authors.lastname: Bellamy
authors.affiliation: NERC Institute of Terrestrial Ecology, Monks Wood, Abbots Ripton, Huntingdon, Cambridgeshire, PE17 2LS, UK Fax: +44-1487-773467; e-mail: p.bellamy@ite.ac.uk, , , , , , GB.
authors.forename: N J
authors.initials: NJ
authors.lastname: Brown
authors.affiliation: Department of Ecology, Lund University, S-22362 Lund, Sweden, , , , , , SE.
authors.forename: B
authors.initials: B
authors.lastname: Enoksson
authors.affiliation: NERC Institute of Terrestrial Ecology, Merlewood, Grange-over-Sands, Cumbria, LA11 6UJ, UK, , , , , , GB.
authors.forename: L G
authors.initials: LG
authors.lastname: Firbank
authors.affiliation: British Trust for Ornithology, The Nunnery, Thetford, Norfolk, IP24 2PU, UK, , , , , , NF.
authors.forename: R J
authors.initials: RJ
authors.lastname: Fuller
authors.affiliation: NERC Institute of Terrestrial Ecology, Monks Wood, Abbots Ripton, Huntingdon, Cambridgeshire, PE17 2LS, UK Fax: +44-1487-773467; e-mail: p.bellamy@ite.ac.uk, , , , , , GB.
authors.forename: S A
authors.initials: SA
authors.lastname: Hinsley
authors.affiliation: Institute for Forestry and Nature Research, Bosrandweg 20, PO Box 20, 6700 Wageningen, The Netherlands, , , , , , NL.
authors.forename: A G M
authors.initials: AG
authors.lastname: Schotman
keywords: Climate space; Dispersal; Isolation; Key words Metapopulation; Population viability