title: Parapatric speciation in three islands: dynamics of geographical configuration of allele sharing.
abstract: We studied the time to speciation by geographical isolation for a species living on three islands connected by rare migration. We assumed that incompatibility was controlled by a number of quantitative loci and that individuals differing in loci by more than a threshold did not mix genetically with each other. For each locus, we defined the geographical configuration (GC), which specifies islands with common alleles, and traced the stochastic transitions between different GCs. From these results, we calculated the changes in genetic distances. As a single migration event provides an opportunity for transitions in multiple loci, the GCs of different loci are correlated, which can be evaluated by constructing the stochastic differential equations of the number of loci with different GCs. Our model showed that the low number of incompatibility loci facilitates parapatric speciation and that migrants arriving as a group shorten the waiting time to speciation compared with the same number of migrants arriving individually. We also discuss how speciation rate changes with geographical structure.
authors.affiliation: Department of Biology, Faculty of Science , Kyushu University , 744 Motooka, Nishi-ku, Fukuoka 819-0395 , Japan.
authors.forename: Ryo
authors.identifier: 0000-0003-3545-7513
authors.initials: R
authors.lastname: Yamaguchi
authors.affiliation: Department of Biology, Faculty of Science , Kyushu University , 744 Motooka, Nishi-ku, Fukuoka 819-0395 , Japan.
authors.forename: Yoh
authors.initials: Y
authors.lastname: Iwasa
keywords: genetic drift; neutral loci; recurrent migration; speciation rate; stochastic model