title: Spatial/Temporal Variations of Crime: A Routine Activity Theory Perspective.
abstract: Temporal and spatial patterns of crime in Campinas, Brazil, are analyzed considering the relevance of routine activity theory in a Latin American context. We use geo-referenced criminal event data, 2010-2013, analyzing spatial patterns using census tracts and temporal patterns considering seasons, months, days, and hours. Our analyses include difference in means tests, count-based regression models, and Kulldorff's scan test. We find that crime in Campinas, Brazil, exhibits both temporal and spatial-temporal patterns. However, the presence of these patterns at the different temporal scales varies by crime type. Specifically, not all crime types have statistically significant temporal patterns at all scales of analysis. As such, routine activity theory works well to explain temporal and spatial-temporal patterns of crime in Campinas, Brazil. However, local knowledge of Brazilian culture is necessary for understanding a portion of these crime patterns.
authors.affiliation: 1 University of Campinas, Brazil.|2 Simon Fraser University, Burnaby, British Columbia, Canada.
authors.forename: Silas Nogueira
authors.initials: SN
authors.lastname: de Melo
authors.affiliation: 2 Simon Fraser University, Burnaby, British Columbia, Canada.
authors.forename: Débora V S
authors.initials: DVS
authors.lastname: Pereira
authors.affiliation: 2 Simon Fraser University, Burnaby, British Columbia, Canada.
authors.forename: Martin A
authors.initials: MA
authors.lastname: Andresen
authors.affiliation: 1 University of Campinas, Brazil.
authors.forename: Lindon Fonseca
authors.initials: LF
authors.lastname: Matias
mesh_terms: D001938:Brazil; D003415:Crime / Q000706:statistics & numerical data*; D000066479:Criminal Behavior; D006801:Humans; D012621:Seasons; D062211:Spatio-Temporal Analysis
keywords: crime seasonality; routine activity theory; spatial analysis; temporal analysis